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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	HSU Kaylin	-	-	1%	5%	21%	42%	32%
2	VO Bao-Vy	-	-	-	1%	7%	35%	57%
3	HO Addison	-	-	-	1%	11%	45%	43%
3	CARVAJAL Sofia	-	-	3%	20%	45%	32%
5	YUEN Elsie	-	1%	6%	21%	37%	28%	7%
6	LENK Sophie	-	1%	7%	23%	37%	26%	6%
7	CUI alivia	-	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
8	TAO Ann	-	1%	8%	28%	40%	21%	3%
9	PENG Charlotte	-	-	3%	17%	37%	34%	8%
10	LUO Miranda	-	-	3%	17%	39%	34%	7%
11	KIM Heeyoung	-	3%	14%	30%	32%	17%	3%
12	GUAN Adeline	-	-	-	3%	21%	49%	26%
13	FUNG Sarafina	7%	25%	35%	23%	8%	1%	-
14	WANG Emma	1%	7%	24%	39%	25%	4%	-
15	HOVAGHIMIAN Fira	-	1%	11%	38%	39%	11%
16	THERON Zoe	2%	24%	46%	24%	5%	-
17	POEI Lauren	1%	9%	29%	37%	20%	4%	-
18	TIKHONOVA Vasilisa	-	2%	13%	36%	37%	12%
19	HOM Avery	9%	31%	38%	19%	4%	-	-
20	TIKHONOVA Sofia	-	5%	21%	38%	28%	7%	1%
21	KHAIRUL ANWAR Rania Zara	3%	24%	38%	26%	8%	1%	-
22	TAN Shouyin	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%	-
23	CHO Karis	15%	39%	32%	12%	2%	-	-
24	LIU Angelina	13%	37%	35%	13%	2%	-	-
25	ZHANG Gwenyth	1%	13%	32%	33%	17%	4%	-
26	EDGEWORTH Paloma	7%	38%	39%	13%	2%	-
27	CHEN Elysia	71%	26%	2%	-	-	-
28	XIE Su	-	3%	16%	34%	32%	13%	2%
29	SAH Madeleine	58%	34%	8%	1%	-	-	-
30	CHAN Ella	8%	26%	35%	23%	7%	1%	-
31	MANANSALA Zara	26%	43%	24%	6%	1%	-	-
32	LIU Ariana	4%	22%	39%	27%	8%	1%	-
33	LIN Phoebe	20%	40%	29%	9%	1%	-	-
34	HOFFMAN Amelia	2%	11%	28%	34%	20%	5%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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