Event Preview
National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NACWednesday, July 7, 2021 at 8:30 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3757 | 3953 - 3514 |
| 5 - 8 | 3432 | 3495 - 3378 |
| 9 - 16 | 3238 | 3342 - 3197 |
| 17 - 32 | 3103 | 3194 - 3020 |
| 33 - 64 | 2894 | 3018 - 2795 |
| 65 - 128 | 2537 | 2788 - 2162 |
| 129 - 158 | 2039 | 2337 - 1754 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.