SAS D & Under Foil

Div III Mixed Foil

Friday, January 20, 2023 at 7:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LISONDRA Niko 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
2 ROZALSKI Eli 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 3%
3 LI Samuel 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
3 ZHANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
5 HARROCH Faustin 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
6 LEE Jayden 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
7 WANG Li 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
8 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
9 BEAVER Hannah 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 2%
10 NAIR Supriya 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 6% -
11 YAN Noelle 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
12 GUZ Anatoly 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
13 WATT Bobby 100% 100% 94% 75% 39% 11% 1%
14 WU Jingxiao 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
15 TKACHUK Daniel 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 4%
16 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
17 LISONDRA Jay 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
18 MORRISON Monica L. 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
19 ROBLES Michael 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
20 HEATH Chad 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
21 LIPPMAN Soyeon 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
22 PIQUETTE Annika 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
24 FOUTS Lucas 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% -
25 GUNTRUM Pamella (Pam) L. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
26 IDLER David 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
27 JOHNSON Brian 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.