Event Results
Fencing Center of Chicago RYC/RJCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CASHMAN Hailey | V V V V V | V V V V | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 2 | HUANG Natalie | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 3 | BOIKE Lucille | D V V D V | V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 3 | SALMI-BYDALEK Ada | V V V V D | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 5 | WASHINGTON KAILYNN ROSE | V V V D V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 6 | FRASER Morgan | D V V D V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 7 | KNAPP Isabella | V D D V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 8 | RIVERA Leahy | D V D V V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 9 | ESMONDE-WHITE Daphne | D D V V V | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 10 | REDEMANN Reagan | D V D V V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 11 | BAO Amelia | V D V V D | D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 12 | XU Kaylee | V V V D D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 13 | YU April | V D D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 14 | CHAVEZ Beatrix | D D D V D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 15 | LIN Athena | V D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 16 | KAGAN Natalie | D D D D D | V D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 17 | SMITH Samantha | D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 18 | HUANG Cynthia | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |