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6th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, January 21, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SADOVSKY Leor B. - - - - 1% 18% 80%
2 MARTIN IV Elmer D. - - 1% 8% 30% 43% 18%
3 NAYGAS LAWRENCE I. - - - 1% 8% 39% 53%
3 MCCOSH Evin M. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
5 NGUYEN Liam - 2% 34% 48% 16%
6 NICOLETTI Luca - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
7 DINSAY Kristjan - - - 6% 26% 45% 23%
8 GOBBO Alexander - - 13% 45% 42%
9 RYOU Aiden - - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
10 FINNEY Lorenz - 2% 13% 36% 34% 12% 1%
11 LING Eddie - - 1% 6% 29% 48% 17%
12 ZHANG Aaron - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
13 NGUYEN Martin - 1% 9% 30% 39% 18% 3%
14 LE Jacob W. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
15 PONS Diego - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
16 DERRICK Blake - 2% 33% 48% 17%
17 KIM Derek A. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
18 KHER Roan - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 5%
19 LLIDO Soren - 1% 6% 21% 40% 30% 3%
20 YI William - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
21 KIM Aiden - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
22 TSAY Jeremy M. - - - 3% 19% 44% 33%
23 PARK Ryan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
24 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) - - 3% 17% 41% 31% 8%
25 LE Jacob H. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
26 WU Lucas - 1% 9% 31% 41% 16% 2%
27 AGRAWAL Niki 1% 8% 29% 40% 19% 4% -
28 WONG Evan 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
29 PINCHENG Yao - 7% 28% 41% 20% 3% -
30 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% - -
31 GETSIN Anthony 1% 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
32 KALAMAS Nikolas 18% 44% 30% 8% 1% - -
33 CHUN Dashel 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
34 ADAMS Cedric 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
35 BOUCHARD Kai 10% 36% 38% 14% 2% - -
36 NGAI Julian 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
37 LIU William 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
38 YORK Lucas 5% 32% 41% 18% 3% - -
39 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
40 KIM Jonah 3% 24% 42% 25% 5% - -
41 CHEN Brian 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
42 ORNELAS Matteo 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
43 MORTON Joshua 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
44 CHANG Nathan 25% 67% 7% - -
45 FLANAGAN Miles 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
46 UPENDER West 32% 45% 20% 3% - - -
47 GORDON William L. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
48 BAE Eugene 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
49 TSOI Spencer 9% 35% 39% 14% 2% - -
50 KUO Jayden 64% 31% 5% - - - -
51 LAM Nicolas 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
52 LIANG Ethan 71% 29% 1% - -
53 DULAI Angad 40% 43% 15% 2% - - -
53 BORDIER Timeo 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.