The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

6th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJC

Junior Women's Foil

Saturday, January 21, 2023 at 11:15 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHEN Chloe I. - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
2 DO Leila - 3% 17% 36% 34% 9%
3 CASTANEDA Keira - - 4% 23% 48% 24%
3 MORALES LEDEZMA Georgina Elizabeth - - 1% 12% 40% 47%
5 CHEW Alexis T. - - - 1% 17% 82%
6 CHANG Elizabeth - 6% 27% 45% 22%
7 CHOI Kailyn 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 3%
8 LEE Ji Ahn - - 2% 13% 44% 41%
9 MORALES Paulina - 6% 27% 43% 21% 1%
10 WELBORN Calissa - 2% 14% 37% 38% 10%
11 CARVAJAL Sofia 3% 22% 44% 26% 5%
12 LEE Allison - 3% 19% 46% 32%
13 DESAI Esha 10% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
14 WANG Celine S. 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
15 DANIELYANTS Gabriela 29% 46% 21% 4% -
16 LENK Sophie 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
17 PENG Charlotte - 3% 18% 43% 33% 3%
18 TIKHONOVA Sofia 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
19 CABALU Alaina 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
20 DURR Strahlia Devi 29% 44% 23% 5% - -
21 WONG Venus 14% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
22 KO Claire 1% 7% 26% 41% 22% 3%
23 GOEL Riyana 5% 26% 44% 21% 3% -
24 ZHENG Zoe 3% 19% 39% 32% 7% -
25 LEE Brielle 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
26 TIKHONOVA Vasilisa 27% 46% 22% 4% -
27 CHANG Janelle 37% 44% 17% 2% - -
27 WILLIAMSON Tessa 8% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
29 KIM Lydia 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.