Old Man Winter

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 9:30 AM

Tileston Gym - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 BRUCE Roman 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
2 LAUSI Patrick M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 GUEVARRA Gerhard V. 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
3 DAVIS Mitchell 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
5 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 5%
6 RAYLE Ava 100% 85% 44% 12% 1%
7 KARNAVAS William 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
8 PAVLINEC John (Jack) C. 100% 98% 83% 44% 9%
9 MATHAI Rachel 100% 89% 54% 18% 3%
10 JONES Jackson 100% 97% 70% 28% 5% -
11 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. 100% 99% 87% 51% 11% 1%
12 GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. 100% 98% 83% 43% 7%
13 CULLITON Colton 100% 98% 81% 39% 9% 1%
14 RUSSELL James 100% 95% 61% 21% 3% -
15 HOPEL Seth 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
16 ODEA Ryan 100% 70% 24% 3% -
17 CANTERO GIGNAC Alexander 100% 93% 63% 23% 3%
18 HEARTY Kai 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 1%
19 SARLO Cliff 100% 93% 63% 22% 3%
20 VANDER SCHAAF Skye 100% 37% 6% - - -
21 SALKIND Edward M. 100% 86% 41% 8% 1%
22 MARTIN Stella 100% 66% 21% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.