Jan 28 @ Marx Fencing Foil NE Developmental Series

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Marx Fencing Academy - Acton, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GE Deanna 100% 100% 95% 67% 22%
2 HAN Jiaren 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
3 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
4 LI Jayden 100% 94% 66% 25% 4%
5 SUN Nathan 100% 99% 89% 55% 16% 1%
6 BENNETT Emi 100% 91% 50% 13% 1%
7 ZHANG Aaron 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% < 1%
8 ZHAO David 100% 95% 64% 16% 1%
9 BYK Karalina 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
10 BU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 7%
11 CONNELLY Malcolm 100% 100% 99% 89% 38%
12 GAMBHIRE Aarav 100% 87% 44% 7% -
13 LIU Brady 100% 94% 65% 24% 3%
14 ARNOULD Frederick 100% 69% 22% 2% -
15 ZHENG Vincent 100% 100% 97% 77% 26%
16 TU Nathan 100% 85% 45% 11% 1%
17 LAFONTAINE Julien 100% 100% 99% 91% 50% 3%
18 ALIMI Mousa 100% 76% 30% 4% -
19 KIRBY Emelie 100% 96% 68% 27% 4%
20 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 74% 28% 5% -
22 ROWE Kieran 100% 66% 22% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.