The Hangover Classic 2023

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DUELL Jacob P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 29%
2 SIDES Nathaniel S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 7%
3 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 MCKINNEY Isaiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
5 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 2%
6 O'DONNELL Breck 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
7 WASDEN Andrew B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
8 PEZZAT Daniel S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
9 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
10 TSAI Caleb 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
11 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 100% 87% 47% 12% 1% -
12 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 8%
13 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
14 HIGGINS Jackie 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
15 DYER John G. 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
16 MORRIS Luke 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
17 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
18 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
19 EDELMAN Catherine 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
20 TSAI Steven 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
21 TREADWAY Ella 100% 51% 9% 1% - - -
22 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
23 RYAN Sean 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 1%
24 LABEE Lily 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
24 VASQUEZ Jonathan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
26 MILLS Joshua 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 6% -
27 BAKEWELL Thomas 100% 94% 38% 7% - - -
28 RHODES Jarreau 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.