2023 Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
2 LUO George F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
3 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
3 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
5 FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
6 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
7 PI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
8 VENU Ram 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
9 XU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
10 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
10 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
12 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3%
13 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
14 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
15 SUORSA Markus 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
16 HUANG Zekai 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 2%
17 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 11% 1%
18 HOOLE Colson 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 25% 3%
19 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
20 LARA Alfred 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 13%
21 YAN Leonard Z. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
21 ARTIS II Ron 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
23 CRETEN Joachim 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
24 ODURO Jesse 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
25 NADEL Joshua 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
26 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5% -
27 HERRERA Aragon 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
28 RYABKOV Stanislav 100% 96% 68% 25% 4% - -
29 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
29 BENDER Nathan 100% 88% 46% 10% 1% - -
31 MA Yanjie (Jeff) 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1% -
32 FAYETTE Julien 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
33 LEIP Ouen 100% 81% 32% 6% - - -
34 DOLEV Ido 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
35 NORVAL Ryan J. 100% 88% 48% 13% 2% - -
36 MILLER Charlie 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 2% -
37 LOPER Alex 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
38 SECOR Solomon 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
39 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
40 ST JOHN Nathan 100% 46% 8% 1% - - -
41 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
42 HOLLEY Dakota 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.