Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
2 LAM Alan 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
3 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 12%
3 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
5 ZHANG Sen 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% -
6 WU Colin 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
7 WONG King-Yee 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
8 DALY Conor 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
9 ANDREI Yakimenko 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
10 MEN Junda 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
11 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
12 ALI Farhan 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
13 LAI Boden 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
14 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
15 RIVERA Louis 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
16 SETO Jing 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
17 CHEN Chang-Rung 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
18 PAN Colin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 9%
19 BOYKO Frank C. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
20 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
21 SINGH Ravin 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
22 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
23 BEN-YAACOV Shai D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
24 KANG EUNWOO 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
25 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
26 ZENG Andrew 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
27 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
28 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
28 LAM Bill 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 8% -
30 SAWASDIKOSOL Sansana 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
31 MODANLOU Navid 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
32 JUNAID Nazim 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
33 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
34 HU Robert J. 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
35 WALTING Paul J. 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
36 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
37 ACKLAND Matthew 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% -
38 CHU Brandon A. 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 2%
39 KIRSCH Adam J. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
40 ZHANG Roland 100% 92% 61% 21% 4% - -
41 RIFKIND Neil 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
42 ELHARI Ibrahim A. 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
43 MASSE Jack 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
44 WHITELOCK James R. 100% 85% 43% 10% 1% - -
45 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
46 CHHU Allen 100% 93% 60% 23% 5% - -
47 HOOD Emery 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
48 FORAIDA Khalid 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
49 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
50 NOVOJILOV Daniel 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
51 REDDY Aaditya 100% 93% 57% 18% 3% -
52 RAMSDELL Owen 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.