Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, January 28, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MICLAUS Justin - - - - 2% 20% 79%
2 THORNHILL Kwasi - - 3% 19% 45% 33%
3 GHAYALOD ansh - - - - 4% 30% 66%
3 DEPEW Spencer - - 1% 10% 33% 46% 10%
5 KIM Matthew - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
6 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
7 SAHAY Kenji - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
8 COLE Alexander - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
9 CADAMBI Roshan - - - 2% 13% 43% 43%
10 RYAN Kai - 4% 19% 37% 29% 9% 1%
11 AKS Ari - - 5% 21% 38% 29% 8%
12 ZHAO Lucas - 5% 28% 43% 20% 3%
13 ZHU Charlie - - 1% 8% 29% 45% 18%
14 XIA Eric 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
15 HUANG Connor - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
16 BRANDT Jaden - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
17 HOPPA Luke H. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
18 POSY Daniel - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 4%
19 CHOKSI Vihaan - 3% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
20 VOSS Jeffer - 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
21 KIM ELIJAH - 2% 11% 27% 34% 20% 4%
22 CHUNG Connor - - 3% 17% 41% 35% 4%
23 BHATIA Ekam 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
24 NGUYEN Anthony - 2% 11% 31% 35% 17% 3%
25 LEE Andrew - 1% 7% 26% 43% 22% 2%
26 NOURELDIN Gabriel - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 19%
27 LIGH Checed 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
28 KOGAN Nikita 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
29 TSAO Oliver 1% 11% 38% 37% 12% 1%
30 HAN Daniel Y. - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 32%
31 DIMATTEO Michael 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
32 GOLD Carter - - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8%
33 LIN Philip T. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
34 STUMACHER Ryan 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
35 BURR Gavin 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
36 KILGALLEN William - - 5% 26% 46% 22%
37 RAGAN STEINSSON Sigurdur 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
38 LUCAS Hayden 2% 14% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
39 KEIPER Benjamin 2% 12% 33% 37% 15% 2% -
40 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9%
41 LAUB William 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3% -
42 WITCZAK Mateus 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
43 OLOUGHLIN Quin 26% 44% 25% 5% - - -
44 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
45 SADHU Neiyam 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
46 SEN Christian 5% 25% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
47 WANG HongXi 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
48 TASIKAS Stylianos - - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
48 KUMAR Arjun 2% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3% -
48 RILEY "Jack" 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -
51 TOZZI Massimo 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
52 HENDERSON Jack 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
53 STONE Martin 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% - -
54 TANG Shu Hon - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
55 CHANG ETHAN 27% 49% 20% 3% - -
56 TAN Ethan 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
57 BEEBY PIERRE Wyatt 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
58 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
59 LIGUORI Michael 10% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
60 LICHTERMAN Jakub 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
61 MATTINGLY Ian 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
62 FREDRICK Jameer 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
63 FTAIHA Ezra 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
64 BEAUCHAMP Declan 44% 45% 10% 1% - -
65 TSAO Alister 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
66 KULKARNI Rohan 16% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
67 XU Justin 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
68 SHELMIDINE Cole 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
68 BARROWS Hunter 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.