{YEL!} Cupid's Arrow Tourney

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Mayo Civic Center - Rochester, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 OLSON Emerson 100% 43% 6%
2 WILKINS Mateo 100% 63% 16%
3 MARTIN William 100% 95% 66% 22% 2%
4 NAIDL Josiah 100% 91% 48%
5 FECHTMEYER Theodore 100% 95% 59%
6 WATKINS Christian 100% 99% 83%
7 WAKEHAM Paul 100% 99% 87% 46% 4%
8 GLOVER George 100% 86% 17%
9 BREWNER Ethan 100% 75% 7%
10 SCHAUER Jack 100% 19% -
11 WAKEHAM Timothy 100% 72% 27% 5% -
12 HOWLAND Jonas 100% 83% 11%
13 PHONPRASANSACK Grayson 100% 79% 26%
14 REDWING III Thomas Missing ID
15 MENASCO Juliun 100% 100% 98% 80% 32%
16 JARCHO Beckett Missing ID
17 WEISS Quintin 100% 44% 6%
18 CHEN Weizhi 100% 98% 48%
19 SMITH Henry 100% 23% 1%
20 BERSCHEID Arthur 100% 80% 30%
21 HUANG Kai 100% 95% 60%
22 BROWN Ian 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
23 TORTORELLO Bear 100% 93% 54%
24 WOODS Jarek 100% 78% 18%
25 ZHANG Alexander Missing ID
26 CAPERS Hunter Missing ID
27 SANDERS Jack 100% 49% 7%
28 LOCKWOOD Jacob 100% 76% 23% 3% -
29 SHAO Zhenghao 100% 98% 68%
30 WANG Allan Missing ID
31 HOKANSON Braddock 100% 92% 42%
32 ZWEBER Ben Missing ID
33 PABICH Noah Missing ID
34 OSTFIELD Mati 100% 46% 7%
35 AHNEMANN Leif Missing ID
36 CLICK Cole Missing ID
37 KOOIMAN Jake Missing ID
38 PEAKE Lucas 100% 23% 1%
39 SMITH Joseph Missing ID
40 FADILA Murad Missing ID
41 ANDERSON Norse Missing ID
42 FERRARA Asher Missing ID
43 HE Ethan 100% 94% 28%
44 MEREDITH Declan Missing ID
45 WILLIAMS Ethan Missing ID
46 BASTODKAR Ved Missing ID
47 MEREDITH Jackson Missing ID
48 WOJTALEWICZ Aiden Missing ID
49 CLARK Aaron Missing ID
50 GARSKE James 100% 70% 26% 4% -
51 CUNEO Luca Missing ID
52 BUREAU Louis Missing ID
53 BOMGARDNER Ben Missing ID
54 ENGLERT Brayden Missing ID
55 KUHLMAN Calvin Missing ID
56 RUBY Asher Missing ID
57 UNDERWOOD Dyllan Missing ID
58 DILLON Jack Missing ID
59 RUBENSTEIN Desmond 100% 97% 71% 25% 2%
60 SCHRANDT James 100% 95% 71% 33% 7%
61 HILL Elliott Missing ID
62 GORDON Jack Missing ID
63 BERCHENKO Zack Missing ID
63 MOKBEL Yassin 100% 98% 72% 22% 1%
65 FEEHAN Conor Missing ID
66 GERBER William 100% 80% 30%
67 LOILAND Nathan Missing ID

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.