The Battle of the Bay ROC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
2 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
3 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
3 HANSEN Kira 100% 100% 100% 92% 54%
5 MONTOYA Kimberlee C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
6 CHA Eugenie 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
7 HEPLER Sarah 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 3%
8 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
9 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 2%
10 CHIRASHNYA Noya 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
11 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika 100% 100% 95% 64% 14%
12 OBENCHAIN Janel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 19%
13 MONTOYA Amy C. 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 23%
14 LI Charlotte 100% 100% 90% 59% 20% 2%
14 WILEY Erica 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
16 HOFMAN Haejung 100% 100% 98% 79% 39% 8%
17 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
18 ENRILE Erica 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9% -
19 DAYAL Saahira 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
20 POON Desiree 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% - -
21 CHIEM Karen 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
22 LAI Amanda 100% 91% 56% 17% 2% -
23 HSIU Elizabeth 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
24 RICH Caroline B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% -
25 PRIMES Amanda M. 100% 100% 89% 41% 6%
26 LEE Kaitlyn M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 7%
27 CHANG Celine A. 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
28 DUONG Zoey 100% 100% 87% 47% 13% 1%
29 SCHOR Elisabeth 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
30 MOLLINIER Angel 100% 86% 43% 11% 1% -
31 XU Celina 100% 85% 26% 3% -
32 KAUR Jaap 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
33 RYAN Minhuey 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37% 6%
34 HAU Olivia 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 1%
35 CHUNG Penelope 100% 97% 76% 34% 6% -
36 LIANG Jingjing 100% 100% 91% 55% 15% 2% -
37 CHIRASHNYA Mika 100% 100% 90% 52% 13% 1% -
38 SALISTRA Emilia 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% -
39 BHATT Anisha 100% 97% 76% 35% 6% -
40 BLOOMER Suzanne 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 14%
41 WELBORN Kathrina 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
41 SRIVASTAVA Arya 100% 95% 48% 11% 1% -
43 MA Katelyn 100% 98% 74% 33% 7% -
44 KIM Eugenia (Eugenia Kim) 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
45 DALEY Keira 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
46 MYERS Cal 100% 29% 2% - -
47 MULAGARI Swarasai 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
48 MAGYARI-KOPE Ingrid 100% 17% 1% - - -
49 BANERJEE Eesha 100% 31% 3% - - - -
50 DING Grace 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
51 ESTRADA Ariana 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
52 CHEN Samantha 100% 24% 2% - - -
53 PERKINS-OLLILA Emily 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
54 COHEN Shaina 100% 89% 35% 5% - - -
55 GILLIS-PADE Neallie 100% 60% 18% 2% - -
56 BENNETT Vienne 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.