2023 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 8:00 AM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLARK Aram - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
2 CARRINGTON IV William T. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
3 ANAND Rishab - - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
3 AO Christopher - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
5 SHAPIRO Simon 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 2%
6 URSU Marcel T. - - - - 3% 23% 74%
6 OH Aster - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
8 SRIVATS Vedh - - 1% 4% 19% 41% 35%
9 CHENG Sawyer - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
10 DOMINIQUE Remson - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
11 SASSI Ilyas - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
12 BIVIJI Ali - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
13 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
14 MARTINSON Torm 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
15 SALDARINI Glenn - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
16 MERMEGAS Alexander - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
17 HU Jayden - 2% 14% 34% 34% 13% 1%
18 SAGE Nikolai 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
19 BEAL Colton - 1% 11% 32% 39% 17%
20 WONG Max - 2% 10% 27% 37% 22% 2%
21 KIM Daehwan(Benjamin) - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
22 LIU Ryan - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 4%
23 GORDON Samuel 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
24 YOOK Isaac - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
25 LOO Jason - 3% 18% 37% 33% 9%
26 WELSTEAD Nicholas - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
27 LUCAS William - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
28 LEVIN Jacob - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 3%
29 BHANDARE Niev 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
30 BIVIJI Adam - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
31 FOUX Jonathan 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
32 LIN Brendan 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
33 TUNIK Joshuah 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
34 LIEBOWITZ Carson 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5% -
35 ONG Dylan - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
36 GERTSBERG Eli 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 11% 1%
37 MIAO Heqi - - 4% 20% 38% 29% 7%
38 LEE Blake - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
39 LAMTAN Christoffer 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
40 NG Oliver 1% 9% 30% 38% 20% 4%
41 TRZEPLA Max 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
42 MADHAVAN Arjun 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
43 BARENBOYM Michael 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
44 LOTTNER Samuel 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
45 YOUNG Parker 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
46 SHINCHUK Jacob 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
47 BROOKS Drake - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 9%
48 LOSQUADRO Joseph 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
49 CHANG Timothy 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
49 KUSHKOV Michael 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
49 TAYCHER Aaron 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1%
52 KARAVAS Nicholas 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% -
53 CAREY Sam 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
54 DOSTAL Maximilian - 3% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
55 SHAPIRO Leo 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% -
56 CRAWFORD William 43% 42% 14% 2% - -
57 SUH Leo 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
58 MALEK Zak 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
59 EARLEY Jack 46% 40% 12% 2% - -
60 MHLEY Gavin 2% 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
61 GUPTA Arav 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
62 IMANUEL Ethan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
63 CUSSON William 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
64 LEE Lucas 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
65 LEE Jason 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
66 OREN Daniel 10% 36% 36% 15% 2% -
67 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
68 PAI Ayan 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
69 CHAVAN Aditya 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 6% -
70 WAXLER Alex 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
71 SAUVE Quinn 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
72 DATTILIO Aidan 16% 39% 33% 10% 1% - -
73 LAU Kyrus 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
74 HAIRABEDIAN Ellis 33% 46% 18% 3% - - -
75 CHAN Ewan 37% 41% 17% 3% - -
75 HALPER Benjamin 11% 41% 35% 12% 2% -
77 LEE Damian 34% 46% 17% 3% - - -
78 PREVOST Landon 30% 44% 21% 5% - -
79 JIA Charles 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.