Cascade Clash SYC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Friday, February 3, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LI Joy	-	3%	15%	33%	35%	14%
2	ZEE Savannah	-	1%	9%	28%	40%	22%
3	LI Alice	1%	6%	22%	36%	27%	8%
3	LIGERET Stella	2%	15%	32%	33%	15%	3%
5	WANG DINA C.	-	-	4%	15%	32%	34%	14%
6	SOE Hayleigh	3%	17%	34%	31%	13%	2%
7	LU Keeva	3%	16%	33%	32%	14%	2%
8	NAYGAS Alexandra	12%	34%	34%	16%	4%	-
9	DENG Claire	-	3%	14%	32%	36%	15%
10	WU Allison	-	1%	7%	22%	35%	27%	8%
11	ZHOU Joi	5%	23%	36%	26%	9%	1%
12	LEE Zoe	-	3%	13%	29%	33%	18%	4%
13	KENSICKI Phoebe	2%	13%	30%	32%	18%	5%	1%
14	SMIRNOV Victoria	1%	8%	24%	34%	24%	8%	1%
15	LIM Kensie	1%	9%	26%	36%	23%	5%
16	LIM Kora	10%	33%	36%	17%	4%	-
17	DESAI Zoya	5%	22%	35%	27%	10%	1%
18	KIM Natalie	1%	6%	22%	37%	27%	7%
19	WANG Doreen	22%	40%	28%	9%	1%	-
20	CHANG Lydia	-	4%	16%	34%	34%	12%
21	NEUMANN Erika	4%	20%	36%	29%	10%	1%
22	WILDE Aiza	1%	7%	23%	36%	26%	7%
23	SHELTONOYLER Lula	6%	25%	35%	24%	8%	1%	-
24	BOWDER Kate	15%	36%	32%	14%	3%	-
25	SCHULTZ Sumi	23%	40%	27%	9%	1%	-
26	TEWARI Amaira	15%	36%	32%	14%	3%	-
27	QIN Adriana	2%	11%	28%	35%	20%	4%
28	LEE Abigail	-	3%	15%	33%	35%	14%
29	MORENO Josefina	4%	19%	35%	29%	11%	2%
30	WONNEBERG Kate	2%	11%	29%	35%	20%	4%
31	LIU Doris-Zihan Zhou	25%	40%	26%	8%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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