DCFC Champagne Challenge #3

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 27, 2019 at 10:00 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
2 SWANSON Lars M. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
3 HOFFMANN Christopher J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 62% 16%
3 LIU John 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
5 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
6 YOON Nathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
7 KENYON Jacob 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
8 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
9 GHYSELS Léo 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
10 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
11 CHIMAHUSKY Rebecca 100% 100% 98% 77% 32% 5%
12 LEE Timothy S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
13 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
14 LAMPE-VORGITY Donald D. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 8%
15 STEVENS Daniel 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 4%
16 SALISBURY Cary 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
17 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 6%
18 DEUCHER Joseph H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 22%
19 KIM Edward J. 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
20 MILLIGAN Bruce C. 100% 99% 90% 56% 13% -
21 CHEN Chang-Rung 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% -
22 ADLER Ethan M. 100% 98% 83% 44% 12% 1%
22 GALBIATI Leonardo 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
24 LI Benjamin 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1%
25 CHEN Eric 100% 97% 77% 33% 6% -
26 WOZNIAK Ignacy 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
27 SILVA Philip 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
28 HENRY Asha S. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
29 PICCUS Isaac S. 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
29 LEE Kyungmin 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
31 ZHENG Yuanlong (Bill) 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
32 JORDAN Anton 100% 90% 58% 22% 3% -
33 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
34 MILLIGAN Lauren M. 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
35 KENYON Benjamin 100% 97% 75% 36% 8% 1%
36 LU Qi 100% 96% 68% 27% 5% -
37 LU Samantha R. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
38 YOON Katherine 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
39 LU Sebastian X. 100% 96% 63% 23% 4% - -
40 FRENCH Phaelen 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
41 HU Chelsea 100% 95% 67% 24% 3% -
42 WILLIAMS Stephanie 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
43 ZHANG Caden 100% 38% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.