19th Will Fence for Food Charity Tournament

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 11, 2023 at 12:30 PM

Wasatch Fencing - Kaysville, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WALL Peter 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
2 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 3%
3 MACK Jason 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
3 PULLARA Ashley 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
5 RAINEY Zoe-Andrea 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
6 EVERETT Taiger 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
7 STEELE Alan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
8 MERRIAM Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 13%
9 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 FERGUSON Jason 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
11 DOERR Zoe 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
12 CHRISTIAN Lyn 100% 100% 100% 91% 46% 9% -
13 SMITH Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
14 JONES Veronica C. 100% 81% 43% 12% 2% - -
15 WHITESIDES Ella K. 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2% -
16 SMITH Eli 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
17 DOERR Jeff 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21% 1%
18 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
19 LLOYD Melanie 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
20 JONES Dominic 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
21 NOPENS Jennifer 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% -
22 LITTLE Alex 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
23 FRANS Erin 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
24 SMITH Zeph 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
25 RALSTON Katherine 100% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
26 SPILKER Luke 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
27 DOERR Alea 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
28 RAY Jessica 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
29 GRAVIS Martin V. 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
30 HEINER Sylvia 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
31 SNELL Scott 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
32 CASTAGNO Alexander 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
33 SETHRE Traci 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.