Colorado Cup #3

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 12, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Fencing Academy of Denver - Littleton, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANDEL Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
2 XU Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 11%
3 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
3 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
5 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
6 BEITEL Noah 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 7%
7 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
8 SCHERER Max 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
9 YAROSH Stephen 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 2% -
10 MARQUEZ Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
11 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
12 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
13 DUDNICK Christian 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
14 YODER Bridget H. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9% -
15 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 99% 86% 54% 18% 2% -
15 FOX Gavin 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
17 RODRIGUEZ Erik 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
18 THOMAS Texas 100% 92% 49% 14% 2% - -
19 DEL CIOTTO Tyler 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% - -
20 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% - -
21 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
22 BRUSHABER Colin 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
23 RASMUSSEN Nathan 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
24 TIBBETTS Noah 100% 85% 41% 8% 1% - -
25 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
26 NANNEMANN Chandler 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
27 GREGER Sarah 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
27 THOMSON Sarah 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.