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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SUN Chloe	-	-	-	-	1%	12%	88%
2	SAIFEE Lamya	-	-	-	-	4%	26%	69%
3	HSU Kaylin	-	-	-	-	2%	19%	80%
3	ZOU Ella	-	-	-	7%	37%	56%
5	DENG Melissa	-	-	-	3%	26%	71%
6	DUAN Sophie	-	-	1%	7%	33%	60%
7	HAN Gian	-	-	4%	23%	47%	26%
8	KIM Sydney	-	-	3%	17%	41%	39%
9	WANG Emma	-	1%	7%	23%	39%	27%	3%
10	BAE Yooju	-	-	4%	19%	41%	34%	2%
11	LI Joy	-	5%	28%	51%	14%	1%
12	CHANG Olivia	1%	7%	24%	36%	25%	7%	-
13	LEVESQUE Brielle	-	1%	11%	39%	40%	9%
14	LIU Samantha	4%	22%	37%	28%	9%	1%
15	RUI Jessie	1%	5%	20%	35%	29%	10%	1%
16	LIM Kensie	1%	7%	23%	35%	26%	8%	-
17	YAO Abby	-	6%	27%	41%	22%	3%
18	TULYAG Sayda	1%	22%	43%	27%	6%	1%
19	KENSICKI Phoebe	3%	19%	37%	30%	11%	1%	-
20	LUCAS Ava	8%	29%	38%	21%	4%	-	-
21	CHU Felicity	3%	20%	36%	29%	10%	1%	-
22	PARK Lauren	-	4%	18%	34%	31%	12%	1%
23	MA Yifei	37%	44%	16%	2%	-	-
24	WU Chingfei Amber	1%	10%	34%	39%	15%	1%
25	HUGHES Olivia	12%	38%	36%	12%	1%	-
26	LEE Zoe	1%	12%	36%	36%	13%	1%
27	MONAT Jennifer	-	4%	22%	42%	28%	3%
28	TELEB Farida	17%	38%	31%	12%	2%	-	-
29	ZONG Melody	-	6%	23%	38%	26%	7%	-
30	LIM Kora	17%	37%	31%	13%	2%	-	-
31	CHEN Madeleine	3%	15%	33%	32%	15%	2%	-
32	BORDIER Siloe	17%	48%	28%	6%	1%	-
33	SREENIVAS Ridhi	1%	11%	29%	36%	20%	3%
34	ZEE Savannah	-	4%	22%	41%	28%	4%
35	AULT Aryanna	1%	8%	31%	40%	18%	2%
36	WANG Yanxuan(Alicia)	3%	16%	33%	31%	14%	2%	-
37	ZHOU Joi	2%	21%	41%	28%	7%	1%
38	BENNYHOFF Naia	4%	20%	35%	29%	11%	1%
39	LING Camryn	4%	18%	34%	30%	12%	2%
40	ZOU JIAYING	-	1%	10%	34%	43%	12%
41	BENNYHOFF Myla	19%	40%	29%	10%	2%	-	-
42	SOE Hayleigh	1%	8%	27%	37%	23%	5%	-
43	OLSHANSKY Dalia	1%	8%	27%	37%	22%	5%	-
44	NAYGAS Alexandra	8%	37%	42%	12%	1%	-
45	NGUYEN Chloe	41%	42%	15%	2%	-	-
46	ZHANG Queeny	66%	30%	4%	-	-	-
47	WANG Doreen	23%	48%	24%	5%	-	-
48	NAVARRO LeighAnn	28%	43%	23%	5%	-	-
49	THANT Alexis	45%	40%	13%	2%	-	-	-
50	XI Sophia	19%	40%	30%	10%	1%	-
51	FAN Sophia	1%	7%	26%	40%	23%	3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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