4th Annual Precision Invitational RYC and RJC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, February 12, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CASTANEDA Keira	-	-	-	1%	7%	35%	58%
2	SUN Chloe	-	-	-	-	2%	21%	77%
3	AYUPOVA AMELIYA	-	-	-	-	5%	31%	64%
3	SAIFEE Lamya	-	-	2%	10%	29%	40%	19%
5	HSU Kaylin	-	-	-	2%	15%	43%	39%
6	HAN Gian	-	1%	8%	23%	35%	26%	7%
7	GUAN Adeline	-	-	1%	10%	33%	41%	15%
8	BAE Yooju	-	3%	20%	41%	28%	7%	-
9	CARVAJAL Sofia	-	-	1%	11%	37%	41%	9%
10	CUI alivia	-	-	1%	14%	44%	37%	4%
10	ZHANG Ivy	-	-	4%	19%	39%	32%	5%
12	DESAI Esha	-	3%	15%	32%	32%	14%	2%
13	MONAT Jennifer	-	2%	18%	47%	28%	5%	-
14	TIKHONOVA Vasilisa	1%	9%	27%	36%	21%	5%	-
15	SHUM Maya	-	-	2%	9%	28%	41%	21%
16	MORALES Paulina	-	-	7%	29%	42%	20%	2%
17	ZOU Ella	-	-	-	2%	15%	48%	36%
18	DENG Melissa	-	-	-	2%	15%	49%	35%
19	ZHENG Zoe	-	-	5%	22%	41%	26%	5%
20	YUEN Elsie	1%	8%	24%	35%	25%	8%	1%
21	WILLIAMSON Tessa	-	3%	16%	38%	35%	8%	1%
22	VILLARAMA Kara	20%	38%	29%	11%	2%	-	-
23	TIKHONOVA Sofia	2%	12%	29%	33%	19%	5%	-
24	DUAN Sophie	-	-	2%	10%	28%	39%	22%
25	WANG Yanxuan(Alicia)	11%	35%	37%	15%	2%	-	-
26	KIM Sydney	2%	15%	32%	32%	16%	3%	-
27	COX Sophia	1%	6%	21%	34%	27%	10%	1%
28	ANDONIAN Lauren	2%	17%	42%	30%	8%	1%	-
29	GUO Audrey	6%	24%	35%	25%	9%	1%	-
30	WANG Emma	3%	16%	35%	32%	12%	2%	-
31	WU Chingfei Amber	23%	40%	27%	9%	1%	-	-
32	LI Joy	1%	10%	28%	35%	20%	6%	1%
33	YONG Rosalind	-	-	2%	18%	46%	31%	3%
33	HUGHES Olivia	12%	39%	35%	12%	2%	-	-
35	TULYAG Sayda	1%	8%	30%	39%	19%	3%	-
36	LAY Apollonia	-	3%	16%	35%	33%	12%	1%
37	LUCAS Ava	2%	20%	50%	24%	3%	-	-
38	AULT Aryanna	9%	33%	37%	18%	4%	-	-
39	MANIMTIM Rachel	17%	49%	28%	5%	-	-	-
40	POEI Lauren	1%	8%	28%	40%	20%	4%	-
41	OLSHANSKY Dalia	3%	18%	38%	31%	9%	1%	-
42	CHU Felicity	15%	38%	33%	11%	2%	-	-
43	NGUYEN Chloe	43%	42%	14%	2%	-	-	-
44	CHANG Janelle	19%	42%	30%	8%	1%	-	-
45	LEE LAUREN	37%	47%	14%	1%	-	-	-
46	SREENIVAS Ridhi	14%	39%	33%	12%	2%	-	-
47	THANT Alexis	36%	51%	13%	1%	-	-	-
48	MA Yifei	54%	38%	8%	1%	-	-	-
49	BENNYHOFF Naia	36%	42%	18%	4%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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