1st Annual Bruce Capin Memorial Brawl

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 11, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Southwest Recreation Center - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOARES Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
2 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 PALEO Gabriella 100% 100% 97% 80% 48% 16% 2%
3 GRAINGER Graeme 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
5 BALLOU Johnathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 87% 32%
6 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 94% 54% 9%
7 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 50%
8 HARDISON Reno 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
9 QURESHI Afzal A 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 78%
10 FAIR James 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
11 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 7%
12 SEOL Brian 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
13 TIAGI Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
14 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2% -
15 BROWN Olivia 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
16 CEBALLOS M. Micaiah 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
17 MORELAND Jack 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
18 HARKONEN Eemil 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 10% -
19 GLEASON Sean 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
20 WHITLEY Alexis 100% 99% 77% 13% - -
21 AKULOVA Kat 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
22 RAKAJ Jozef 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
23 LOPEZ Lincoln 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
24 WOLF Gabriel 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
25 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
26 NAWAZ Taimoor 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% - -
27 ABABON Adam 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
28 CROSS Phoenix 100% 76% 30% 6% - -
29 JOHNSON Miles 100% 98% 84% 46% 10% 1%
30 RUIZ Natalie 100% 93% 59% 18% 2% -
31 PROUDNIK Anthony 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
32 FREEMAN Rian 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% - -
33 LAMBERT Nicole 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3% -
34 RYAN Alyssa 100% 89% 51% 14% 1% -
35 GRIFFIS Abbie 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
36 LUCENA Valeria 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
37 BRUNA Diego 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
38 MEDINA Sophia 100% 81% 35% 6% - -
39 MOTTLAU Maddox 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1% -
40 REYES Ande 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
41 DESANTO Juniper 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
42 PELLETIER Skylar 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
43 QUINTERO Amaury 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
44 FIGUEROA Lucius 100% 98% 78% 33% 6% -
45 LEE Andrew 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
46 COLWELL Madeline 100% 66% 20% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.