CFA Icebreaker Challenge

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 18, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Cardinal Fencing Academy - Ashburn, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 24%
2 SO David Lorenzo 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
3 EVANS Allen 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
3 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 100% 98% 88% 54% 12%
5 FU Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
6 HULL Liam 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
7 PALAMARCHUK Andriy 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
8 PETRUNKO Kirill 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
9 FORAIDA Khalid 100% 98% 81% 41% 8% -
10 WANG Aiden 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
11 MEGGERS Samuel 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% -
12 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 98% 53% 11% 1% -
13 SIMS Martin 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1%
14 WU Shaochi 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
15 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 72% 29% 6% - -
16 CHRISTOPHER Bock 100% 36% 5% - - -
17 SKINNER Evan J. 100% 99% 89% 45% 9% 1%
18 WILLIAMS Stephanie 100% 36% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.