Death Valley Duel

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 18, 2023 at 8:30 AM

Central-Clemson Recreation Center - Central, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 CAMPBELL Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
2 ILENRE Roni 100% 99% 85% 45% 7%
3 PAVLINEC John (Jack) C. 100% 100% 94% 66% 17%
3 TATSAPAUGH Jonah 100% 99% 87% 21% 1%
5 KREISER Alexander 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
6 ECKARD Melody 100% 95% 67% 26% 4%
7 MCGINNISS Andrew 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
8 MURRAY Elijah 100% 53% 13% 1% -
9 JACKSON Viktoria 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
10 DAILEY John 100% 90% 53% 14% 1%
11 HENDERSON Matthew 100% 100% 100% 93% 61%
12 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 71% 29% 6% -
13 HOANG Ethan 100% 95% 65% 22% 2%
14 DOTY Matthew 100% 68% 25% 5% -
15 ALVARENGA Darby 100% 47% 9% 1% -
16 MOSS Riley 100% 87% 42% 9% -
17 GUTHRIE Jennifer 100% 98% 82% 46% 12%
18 WESTRAAD MacKinnon 100% 83% 29% 4% -
19 MARTIN Stella 100% 98% 70% 14% 1%
20 STRIKER Emma 100% 97% 77% 36% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.