Junior Olympics

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, February 18, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
2 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
3 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
5 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
6 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
7 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
8 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
9 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
10 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 6%
11 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
12 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
13 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
14 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
15 LUO George F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 18%
16 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
17 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 37%
18 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22%
18 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
20 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
21 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 23%
22 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
22 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
24 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
25 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
26 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
27 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
28 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
29 WANG Robert 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
31 LE Hayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
32 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
33 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
33 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 10%
35 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
36 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
36 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
38 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
39 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19%
39 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
41 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
42 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
43 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
44 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
45 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 4%
46 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
46 XU William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 26%
48 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
49 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
50 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
51 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 18%
52 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
53 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 26%
54 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
55 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
56 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 13%
57 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
58 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
59 DALAL Rohan 100% 97% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
60 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
61 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9%
62 TANN Justin 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
63 SAHAY Kenji 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
64 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
65 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
66 OH Triton 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
67 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
68 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
69 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
70 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
71 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
72 KIM Matthew 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
73 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
73 CHEN Evan P. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
75 CADAMBI Roshan 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3%
76 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
77 REN Richard 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 7%
78 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
79 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
80 LIU kelly 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
81 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
82 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
83 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
84 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 6%
85 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
86 AVAKIAN Alec 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
87 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
87 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
89 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
90 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
90 DUDNICK Christian 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
92 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
92 PI Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
94 HUANG Tom 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
95 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
95 HUANG Connor 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 5% -
97 WANG Nicolas 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
98 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
99 HAO Anwen 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
100 MAY Griffin M. 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4% -
101 LAU Justin Y. 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
102 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 18% 2%
103 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
104 ROE Finnegan 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
105 KIM Alexander M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
106 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
107 LIU Kevin 100% 99% 77% 36% 7% -
108 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 4%
109 SU Landon 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
110 ZHOU James Y. 100% 95% 69% 26% 4% -
111 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 10%
112 YUN Jake 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
113 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
114 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 3%
115 BAUER Hank E. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
115 XU Luke 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
117 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
118 LEE Noah 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
119 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32% 3%
119 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
121 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
122 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
123 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18% 2%
124 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 91% 60% 16% 1%
124 SCHARDINE James 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
126 CHAN Aidan 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
127 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
128 CRAIG Samuel 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
129 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
130 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
131 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
132 HAN Edward 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
133 CHUNG Connor 100% 99% 83% 45% 12% 1%
134 REN James 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
135 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 22% 3%
136 SHI Erick 100% 99% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
137 DOWNEY Baran 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
138 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
139 BEITEL Noah 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
140 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
141 YANG Dylan 100% 97% 76% 37% 10% 1%
142 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 8%
143 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
144 AKS Ari 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1%
145 KUMAR Sachit 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
146 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15% 2%
146 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
148 BRAKEY Ryan 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
149 GAO Albert 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
150 BYON Julian 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 6% -
151 KIM ELIJAH 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
152 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 8% 1%
152 YAN Kevin 100% 98% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
154 SCHERER Max 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
155 POPE Nico 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
155 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
157 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2%
157 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
157 POLESHUCK KINEL Gil 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
160 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
161 ZHUANG Rayken 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
162 KILARI Krish 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
163 STAMIS Kyle 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2% -
164 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
165 LUHAN Zachary 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
165 KATZ Ryan 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
167 SINGH Angadh 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
168 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
169 XU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
170 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
171 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
171 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 100% 90% 56% 18% 3% - -
173 DECK Tyson 100% 99% 84% 41% 10% 1% -
173 BRUTUS Caleb 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
175 SMINK Oliver 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
176 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
177 WANG daniel 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
178 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 5%
179 MOL Justin 100% 89% 49% 15% 2% - -
180 OKEEFE Mitchell 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% -
181 DEPEW Spencer 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
182 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 100% 98% 78% 36% 7% -
182 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 94% 69% 25% 3%
184 BROU Inkosi 100% 99% 84% 45% 11% 1%
185 LO Bradley 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
186 BARRIOS Diego 100% 89% 50% 13% 1% -
187 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
188 KESSENS Keith J. 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
189 ZHU Charlie 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
190 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 98% 84% 46% 11% 1%
191 VENU Ram 100% 97% 68% 26% 5% -
192 LIN Felix 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
193 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
194 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
195 GIANETTO Ethan K. 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
195 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
197 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1% -
198 VO Minh Q. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
198 VOSS Jeffer 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
200 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
201 KO Zuriel 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
202 GAO Marcus 100% 97% 72% 29% 5% - -
202 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
202 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
205 LO Konnor 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
206 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
207 SAVOY Luca 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
208 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
209 YOU Jaden 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
209 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
211 NIETO Titus P. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
211 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
211 LANNAMAN Connor 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% - -
211 KESSLER Nathan 100% 73% 33% 8% 1% - -
211 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 95% 49% 11% 1% - -
216 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
216 GOLD Carter 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1% -
218 JAIN Aniket 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
219 DEKA Tanush 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - -
220 BONSELL Vance 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
220 VELTZ Tyler J. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
220 TIAGI Daniel 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
223 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
224 ZEWDA Kebron 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 1%
225 RAMANAN Govind 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
225 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 36% 5% - - - -
227 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
228 FOX Gavin 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
229 KESSLER Josh 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
229 ZHOU Miles 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
231 POSY Daniel 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
231 GILPIN Samuel 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
233 PATRICO Peter 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 2% -
234 WEBB Rohan 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
235 VAUGHN Jason 100% 94% 65% 23% 3% -
236 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
236 PERRON Robert 100% 93% 60% 19% 3% -
238 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
239 HU Christopher 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 4%
240 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
241 WU Richard 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
241 FAYETTE Julien 100% 82% 36% 7% 1% -
241 BOSITA Carson 100% 95% 64% 24% 4% -
244 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 76% 29% 5% - -
244 RYABKOV Stanislav 100% 67% 21% 3% - -
246 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
247 CLARK Keagan 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
248 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
249 WONG James T. 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
249 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
251 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
252 BERA Enzo 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
253 LO Andrew T. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
254 MATTOO Surya 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
254 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
254 ZHAO Lucas 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
257 HUROWITZ Max 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
258 KERCHER Alexander 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
259 POFF Kainoa 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% - -
260 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
261 HOOLE Colson 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
262 TUNG Ryan 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
262 LAGROU Emerson R. 100% 96% 67% 25% 4% - -
262 JOHNSON Kai 100% 38% 6% - - - -
262 PARK Caleb 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
262 MORAN William 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
267 MOL Spencer 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% -
268 WEN Edward 100% 97% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
269 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% - -
270 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 97% 66% 24% 4% - -
270 YANG Joshua 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
272 LIN Philip T. 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
272 FARIDI Imran 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
274 FANG Eason 100% 80% 33% 6% - - -
275 WALKE Devin 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
276 POFF James 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
276 SCHWIEBERT Harrison 100% 62% 15% 2% - - -
278 ELIN Adam E. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
279 SMITH Vaughn 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% - -
280 HARWOOD James A. 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1%
281 TSAI Michael T. 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
281 HUSTON Theodore 100% 72% 29% 5% - - -
283 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
284 HO Jacob 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
285 LIGUORI Michael 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
286 MENG Michael 100% 25% 2% - - -
287 HUNG Samuel 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
287 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
289 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 65% 15% 1% - - -
290 PATNAIK Eshaan 100% 64% 19% 2% - -
291 RODGERS Jacob 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
291 HILL Quillan 100% 76% 31% 5% - -
291 WELLER Noah 100% 21% 2% - - - -
294 LIU Jeffrey 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
294 HUA Michael 100% 82% 36% 7% 1% - -
296 LEITE Antonio 100% 23% 2% - - -
297 LEITH Jack 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
298 FARAON Paulus 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
298 CUELLAR Hugo 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
298 NETHERTON Jack 100% 20% 2% - - - -
301 WAGNER Elijah 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
302 KURAPATI Datta 100% 14% 1% - - - -
303 AHLMAN Jason 100% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.