The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Junior Olympics

Cadet Women's Foil

Monday, February 20, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
3 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
5 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
6 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 50%
6 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
8 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
9 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
10 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
11 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
11 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
11 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 52%
14 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 24%
15 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
16 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 26%
17 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
18 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
19 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 100% 92% 63% 21%
20 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
21 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
22 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 20%
23 MI Aileen 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
24 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 2%
25 FUNG Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 43% 6%
26 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 45% 7%
27 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
28 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 47% 9%
29 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
30 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
31 PENG Amber L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
32 WELBORN Calissa 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
33 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
34 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
35 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 35%
36 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 21%
37 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
38 BATRA Chaahat 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 23%
38 WANG Zoie Z. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 5%
40 WANG Jasmine 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 9% -
41 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9% -
42 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 99% 89% 54% 16% 2%
43 YANG Audrey 100% 97% 73% 32% 6% -
44 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
45 MU Allison 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% 1%
46 SUN Emily 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
47 FUNG Vera 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 36% 5%
48 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 6%
49 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 22% 2%
50 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 39%
51 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 98% 78% 37% 8% -
52 CANNON Lira J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45% 9%
52 ROY Layla 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45% 6%
54 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
55 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 99% 84% 47% 12% 1%
56 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
57 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
58 KO Claire 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
59 PANT Anisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58% 7%
60 SHIM Grace J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
61 HOANG Mai 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30% 3%
62 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
63 UNGERER Frieda 100% 100% 96% 66% 25% 4% -
64 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
65 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75% 23%
66 ZHENG Julie 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
67 DO Leila 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33% 2%
68 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
69 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 5%
70 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
70 ZHOU Catherine 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36% 3%
72 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31% 3%
73 WANG Chloe 100% 100% 99% 84% 46% 11% 1%
74 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 58% 18% 2%
75 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 100% 91% 61% 22% 2%
76 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 22% 3%
77 COOPER Piper W. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
77 LUH Mia P. 100% 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% -
79 HOBSON Ava 100% 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
80 TANG AI JIA 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
81 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33% 4%
82 ZHANG Eunice 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32% 4%
83 LEVY Avery 100% 100% 97% 74% 30% 5% -
84 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4% -
85 CHEW Alexis T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
86 LAO Sophia 100% 97% 72% 24% 3% - -
87 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
88 STRUGAR Steliana 100% 100% 95% 71% 27% 4%
89 GU Emily 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 8%
90 PARK Leah 100% 97% 74% 31% 5% -
91 CHARALEL Jessica 100% 99% 87% 50% 14% 1%
92 LIN Ju-An Adrianne 100% 100% 97% 74% 32% 5% -
93 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 1%
94 DAVIS Logan 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 4%
95 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 100% 99% 84% 47% 13% 1%
96 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7% -
97 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 100% 99% 77% 31% 5% -
98 SHA Yi Ling 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
98 LI Eleanor 100% 100% 98% 83% 39% 8% -
100 LEE Fiona E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
100 YU Jane 100% 100% 93% 54% 14% 1% -
102 HOANG Anh 100% 99% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
102 YAN Noelle 100% 100% 94% 65% 22% 3% -
104 LENK Sophie 100% 100% 86% 45% 9% 1% -
105 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
106 VO Bao-Vy 100% 100% 98% 78% 39% 8% -
107 YIM Rachael 100% 98% 80% 39% 8% 1% -
108 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 100% 95% 69% 28% 4% -
109 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 98% 79% 41% 10% 1%
110 QUINN Anna 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2% -
111 LIN Victoria T. 100% 99% 83% 42% 9% 1% -
112 BABER Eshaal 100% 97% 67% 19% 2% - -
113 PAULUS Isabella 100% 99% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
114 MEI Sarah 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 22%
115 LAMBERT Mahala 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 3%
116 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 99% 84% 45% 10% -
117 LEE Allison 100% 97% 75% 33% 6% -
118 PENG Serena 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 1%
119 ZHANG Selena 100% 100% 99% 84% 42% 9% -
120 WANG Celine S. 100% 100% 87% 47% 10% 1% -
121 ZHENG Zoe 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% - -
122 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 99% 85% 42% 7% -
123 SEAL Cameron I. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% 1%
124 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 5% -
125 NIRGUDE Siddhi 100% 98% 82% 40% 6% - -
126 WANG Yudi 100% 100% 96% 54% 13% 1% -
127 NEUMAN Sophie 100% 99% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
128 LIU Grace 100% 92% 49% 10% 1% - -
129 PENG Charlotte 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
130 CHOI Kailyn 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7% -
131 LEE emily 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3% -
132 JOHNSON Shelby 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
133 VAUGHAN Norah 100% 100% 92% 56% 18% 2%
134 GUAN Sophie 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4%
135 NICKOLOV Nora 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% -
136 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 91% 50% 13% 1% -
137 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 91% 36% 6% - -
138 MORALES Paulina 100% 99% 68% 25% 5% - -
139 GREENLEAF Ella 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
140 WANG Sophia 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
141 WONG Sophia M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 31% 4%
142 BASSIK Eva 100% 99% 91% 56% 17% 2% -
143 DANIELYANTS Gabriela 100% 97% 73% 25% 4% - -
143 SATISH Prisha 100% 74% 28% 5% - - -
145 SHAH Suhani 100% 98% 78% 33% 4% - -
146 MCDERMOTT Catherine 100% 88% 44% 9% - - -
147 COX Sophia 100% 87% 47% 9% 1% - -
148 CHENG Isa 100% 50% 10% 1% - -
149 BAWA Sahana 100% 98% 85% 46% 12% 1%
150 LAY Apollonia 100% 37% 6% - - -
151 LOPEZ Seble 100% 68% 22% 2% - - -
151 MENG Annabel 100% 95% 46% 10% 1% - -
151 ISHANOVA Sofia 100% 69% 20% 2% - - -
154 ROHRING Anna 100% 87% 41% 9% 1% - -
155 LIU Elinda 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
156 NIRGUDE Esha 100% 56% 13% 1% - - -
157 HIMMEL Alexandra 100% 58% 9% 1% - - -
157 LAYE Isabella 100% 84% 29% 4% - - -
159 BABB Cicely 100% 83% 12% 1% - - -
160 ALKADI Mai 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% - -
160 SINGH Sania 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
162 ARMSTRONG Olivia 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
163 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 84% 35% 5% - - -
164 LANDMAN Charlotte 100% 98% 58% 16% 1% - -
165 SKOURLETOS Maria 100% 100% 90% 51% 14% 1% -
165 DURR Strahlia Devi 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
167 LAWRENCE Nia 100% 66% 14% 1% - - -
168 UHRICH Reese 100% 64% 16% 1% - - -
169 MCKAY Teresa 100% 63% 11% 1% - - -
170 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% - -
171 TAYLOR Gabrielle 100% 50% 9% 1% - - -
172 ROBINSON Ashley 100% 27% 2% - - - -
173 CHEN Zixian 100% 13% - - - - -
173 LEVANT Briea 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2% -
175 CHENG Emily 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
175 ALVAREZ Isabella 100% 60% 12% 1% - - -
177 WISEMAN Margaret (Daisy) 100% 83% 35% 7% 1% -
178 OWENS Elise 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
179 LIU Lucy 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
179 SAUCEDO Fernanda 100% 72% 26% 4% - - -
181 GADIYARAM Sushama 100% 37% 5% - - -
182 GOLLNICK Mira 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
183 GOEL Riyana 100% 81% 35% 5% - - -
184 CHATTERJEE Raina 100% 52% 7% - - - -
185 MUIR Zelda 100% 23% 1% - - -
186 LIU Emily 100% 58% 8% 1% - - -
186 TAMIR Esu 100% 80% 30% 5% - - -
188 WANG Kelsey 100% 22% - - - - -
188 TURNER Alyssa 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% - -
190 LAU Elena 100% 54% 8% - - - -
190 PADDOCK Hannah 100% 31% 3% - - - -
190 DESAI Kanushi 100% 44% 7% - - - -
190 REAVILLE Susanna 100% 3% - - - - -
190 WILLEY Lor 100% 70% 23% 3% - - -
195 SMITH katherine 100% 8% - - - - -
195 BROSS Lara 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
195 WANG hannah 100% 10% - - - - -
198 MALVESTUTO Evelyn 100% 36% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.