DCFC Youth Saber Challenge

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 25, 2023 at 4:00 PM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
2 HEATH Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
3 BONGIORNO Wesley 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3% -
3 DONNELL Cillian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 2%
5 WILLIAMS Ocean 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% < 1% - -
6 TAN Frederick 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
7 PIPKE Garrett 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
8 PROSPER Nathaniel 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
9 BELLSHAW Wyatt 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2% -
10 ABREU ACKER Joaquin 100% 98% 88% 63% 32% 10% 2% -
11 PISTILLI James 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
12 MARX Oliver 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
13 ROKALA Henry 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
14 GREENE Henry 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
15 FIET Henrik 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.