William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PETERS Nathan M. | V V V V D V | V V V V V | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 2 | GALEMORE Jonathan | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 3 | MCKINNEY Isaiah | D V V V V V | V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | MOORHOUSE Emmett | V D V D V D | V V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 5 | KLYCZEK Andrew | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 6 | EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. | D V V V V V | V V D | 2.4 | 5 | +2.6 |
| 7 | EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. | V V D V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 8 | FORMY DUVAL Christopher | D V V D D V | V V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 9 | SIDES Nathaniel S. | V V V V V V | V D | 5.2 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 10 | FADL Omar | V V V V V D | V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 11 | O'DONNELL Breck | V V D D V V | V D | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| 12 | SEMP Iain | D V D V V V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 13 | LEE Ethan | V D V V D D | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 14 | SEMP Brannon A. | D D V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 15 | REEDER Nicholas W. | D V D V V D | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 16 | KUYLER Karl | D D D D V V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 17 | OTT James (Jimmy) P. | V V V D D V | D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 18 | MAGGY Melanie D. | V D V D V V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 19 | SMIGRODZKI Nymeria | V V V D D V | D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 20 | HAYES Nathan P. | D D V V V V | D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 21 | SLACK Mary-Stuart F. | V D V V D D | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 22 | PRICE Owen | V D D V V D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 23 | HARTMAN Grayson | D D V D D V | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 24 | FERGUSON Sam C. | V V D D D D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 25 | TREADWAY Ella | V D D D V D | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 26 | WILLIAMS IV Walter | V V D D D D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 27 | LEE Hans | D V D V D D | D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 28 | KASPER Lucia | V D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 29 | MAHNKEN Thomas G. | D D V D D D | D | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| 30 | RYAN Sean | D D D V D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 31 | MORRIS Luke | D D D D V D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 32 | DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel | D D D D D V | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 33 | ROUNTREE Andrew | D D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 34 | MALIK Zeerick | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 35 | WILLIAMS Morgan | D D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.