William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | FENKER William M. | V D V V V | V V V V V | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 2 | DECK Tyson | V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 3 | XU Emily T. | D V V V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 3 | OTT Alexander | D V V V V | V V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 5 | CLARK Keagan | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 6 | LIN Felix | V V V V | V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 7 | BAKIAN Tristan | V D V V V | V V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 8 | WALKER Terra | D D V D V | V V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 9 | ZHAO Emily W. | V D V V V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 10 | PARCELL Colby | D V V V V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 11 | XU Ivan | V V V V D | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 12 | FRUTH Evan | V V D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 13 | CASSIDY Connor J. | D V D V V | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 14 | DREHER Matthew | V V D V D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 15 | STAM August M. | V V V D D | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 16 | ADKINS Matthew | V D V D D V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 17 | TRAYNOR Jake | D D V V V V | D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 18 | URIBE David | D V D V V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 19 | ABU-AJAJ Mohamed | V V V D D | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 20 | LAUDO Joseph | V V D D D V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 21 | SU Ji | D D V V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 22 | O'HARA Keegan J. | D V D V D | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 23 | MARINO Edwin | V D D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 24 | SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. | D D D V V D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 25 | JACKSON Evan | V D D V D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 26 | SHIFFLETT Parker | V D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 27 | ZANE Christopher | V D D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 28 | ROUADY Ryan | V D D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 29 | KEESEE Devon | D V D D D | V D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 30 | KASBERG Matt | D D D D V | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 31 | TUSING Isabel | D V D D D D | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 32 | LESTYAN Cat | D D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 33 | BENNETT Quinlan | D D V D D | D | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| 34 | WILLIAMS Morgan | V D D D D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 35 | WANG Kelley | D D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 36 | BARR Corinne | D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.