November NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Friday, November 8, 2019 at 10:00 AM

Milwaukee, WI - Milwaukee, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
2 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
3 CAUCHON Francois 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
5 CHIARA ANGELO M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
6 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
7 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
8 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
9 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
10 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
11 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
12 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
13 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
14 HU William 100% 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 6%
15 KULDELL Spencer D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
16 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
17 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
18 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
19 MULLENNIX Ethan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
20 WEI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 7%
21 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
21 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
23 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
24 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
25 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
26 DESROSIERS Olivier 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
27 PRICE Jack S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
28 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
29 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
30 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
31 KANARY Logan A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
32 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
33 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
34 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25% 2%
34 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
36 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
37 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
38 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
38 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Akhil 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 1%
40 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
41 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
42 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
43 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 8%
44 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
45 LIN William 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
46 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
47 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
48 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
49 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
50 TANG Alex Y. 100% 99% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
51 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
52 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
52 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
54 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 94% 74% 36% 8%
55 WIND Nicky E. 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5% -
56 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
57 REN Junming 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
58 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
59 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 12%
60 MARSEE James 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
61 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
62 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
63 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
64 GRIFFIN Nicholas D. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
65 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
66 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
67 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
68 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
69 PASTOR-JOBIN Matis 100% 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1%
70 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
71 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
72 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1%
73 KALUZA Pierre-Frédéric 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 12%
74 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
75 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
76 RAMAN Easwer 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
77 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
78 FRIAS SAUL F. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
79 WESLER Logan A. 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
80 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
81 YANG Kevin S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 5%
82 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
83 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
84 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
85 NOBLE Daniel 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
85 SINGER Carson 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
87 DROZ Camden J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
88 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
89 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
90 KIM Minwook 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
91 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
92 DEMAREST Iain 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 12%
93 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
94 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
94 ZHOU Kevin 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
96 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
96 JEAN Vincent 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
98 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
99 CZAHA Balint 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2%
100 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
101 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
102 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
103 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
104 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
105 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
106 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 29% 5%
107 RAI Avin 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 1%
108 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
109 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
110 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
110 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
112 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 25% 4%
113 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
114 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
115 SHIN Richard J.H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
116 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% 1%
117 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
118 HE Brendan 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
119 CHAN Matthew 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
120 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 4% -
120 LIU kelly 100% 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
122 LIU David J. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
123 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
124 LASORSA Matthew 100% 99% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
125 WUN William 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
126 MORREALE John 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
127 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
128 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
129 ZHANG Michael M. 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
130 FLORES Peter D. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
131 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
132 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 11%
133 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
134 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
134 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
136 BAILEY Asher 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
136 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
138 BARBER Brendan 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
139 RAJA Arnav 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
140 BARBER William S. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
141 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 2%
141 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1%
141 CHENIER Marc-Olivier 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
144 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2%
144 ZHOU Justin 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 6% 1%
146 MCFADDEN Shae Q. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
147 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
148 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
148 REESE Aaron S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
150 MILLER Levi H. 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
151 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
152 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
153 TONG Qilin 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 4%
154 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
155 QIU Le 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
156 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
156 LI Joshua L. 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
158 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
159 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
159 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 98% 80% 36% 7% 1% -
161 CHEN Leo 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 3% -
162 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
163 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
163 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
165 BREIER Satchel E. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3%
166 TONG ZACHARY 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
166 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
168 CHEN Alan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
169 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
170 LUO ZIRUI 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
171 CHEN SHENGWEN 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
172 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
173 SAINT-PIERRE-MENARD Colin 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
174 POPE Nico 100% 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
174 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
174 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
177 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
178 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
179 CHEN Oscar 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
180 NARANJO David E. 100% 87% 50% 14% 2% - -
181 ATEFI Daniel 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
181 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
183 LU Timothy 100% 98% 80% 38% 9% 1%
184 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
185 TANG Brendan J. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
186 STEINMETZ John 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
187 VAN DER MERWE Fabian 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
188 GANTA Vijay 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 4% -
189 PAN Jerry 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
190 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
191 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
192 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
193 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
194 HAN William 100% 20% 2% - - - -
195 LEE Jude H. 100% 90% 37% 7% 1% - -
195 SHASHA Zane 100% 97% 72% 33% 9% 1% -
197 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
198 LE Hayden 100% 97% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
199 GORTON George F. 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -
200 YANG Richard 100% 96% 70% 29% 7% 1% -
201 GOLDBERG Gabriel A. 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
201 NIL Michael Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
203 BULL Anderson 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
203 COSGROVE Connor R. 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
205 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
206 RABINKOV Anthony 100% 96% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
207 GRASS James D. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
208 PAN Andrew W. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
209 HWANG Ryan C. 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
209 GUZZO Vito 100% 19% 2% - - - -
211 CABLE Dante 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
212 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
213 HASNAH Henry 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
214 HOEY-WASOW Henry 100% 83% 36% 7% 1% -
215 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
216 TRINH Trevor Z. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
217 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
218 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
219 JUNG Junhwan 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
220 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% - -
221 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
221 XU William 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
223 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 99% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1%
223 COLLINS Andrew M. 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
225 KIM Noah L. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
226 OWENS William 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
226 YEN Preston 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 4% -
226 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
226 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 60% 16% 2% - - -
230 WONG James T. 100% 33% 4% - - - -
230 ALKIN Isaac 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
232 LAUDON Konrad 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
232 MORRILL Justin 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
234 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
235 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 100% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
236 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
237 ZHOU Miles 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
237 ROBERTS Sam 100% 62% 12% 1% - - -
239 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 93% 59% 22% 4% - -
239 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% -
239 NEVILLE James 100% 62% 14% 1% - - -
242 GOLD Jackson 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
243 GHOSH Tuhin 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
244 LEMPERT Levy A. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
245 FURMAN Thomas G. 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
246 LICHT Aaron H. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
247 WINEBURNER J.T. 100% 26% 3% - - - -
248 CHANIN Liam R. 100% 19% 2% - - - -
249 KEEFE Duncan 100% 96% 66% 25% 5% - -
250 BUEKER Samuel P. 100% 99% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
251 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 94% 52% 15% 2% - -
252 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 97% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
253 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
253 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
255 CADAMBE Rishi 100% 23% 2% - - - -
256 PARKER Timothy S. 100% 88% 38% 8% 1% - -
257 SHAO Peter 100% 38% 6% - - - -
257 WANG Charles 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
257 CHENG Albert 100% 27% 3% - - - -
260 JOHNSON Waldron 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
261 HAM Kevin P. 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
261 REED Samuel J. 100% 32% 4% - - - -
263 ELIN Adam E. 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
263 LEITH Jack 100% 33% 5% - - - -
263 HODGES Calvin 100% 22% 2% - - - -
266 BEITEL Noah 100% 3% - - - - -
266 GARCIA Ryan 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
268 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
269 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
270 HENSHAW Joseph 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
271 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 33% 4% - - - -
272 DILLE Jackson K. 100% 74% 24% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.