March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
2 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
3 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 31%
3 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 43%
5 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
6 HU Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
7 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
8 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
9 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
10 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
11 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
12 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
13 WANG Callie 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
14 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
15 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 98% 79% 39% 8%
16 YOON Sela 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
17 HSU leah 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
18 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
19 BLAKE Anna 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
20 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
21 LEE Alyson 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
22 LEE Irene 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 25% 3%
23 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
24 CONG Anne 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
25 ZHU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
26 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
26 CAI Veronica 100% 100% 97% 77% 32% 5%
28 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 39%
29 CASTELO Soleil 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
30 KAUL Tara 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 6% 1%
31 TENG EMMA 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 22%
32 FOSS Persephone 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
33 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 94% 75% 39% 10% -
34 GONG Joy 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
35 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
36 BORGUETA Madison 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
37 YE Isabella 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
38 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 1%
39 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
40 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
41 GONG suri 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9% -
42 KIM Grace 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
43 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
44 SUN Yi 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
45 LIANG Claire 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
46 WANG Emily 100% 93% 60% 17% 2% -
47 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
48 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
48 KONZEN Iris 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1%
50 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
51 CHERON Helene 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
52 NIU Jessica 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
53 MOON Claire 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
54 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
55 KIM Grace 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
56 ZHAO Lingran 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
57 ZHANG Ashley 100% 99% 89% 51% 14% 2%
58 BROWN Aria 100% 100% 91% 52% 12% 1%
59 MACKAY Katherine 100% 97% 75% 37% 9% 1%
60 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
61 CAI Joanna 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
62 YUEN Nicole 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
63 SEBASTIAN Ava 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
64 XIAÖ Cindy 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
65 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
66 KWON Ava 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
67 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
68 NING Lynn 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 2%
69 WU Daisy 100% 100% 93% 69% 31% 6%
70 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 94% 60% 16% 2%
71 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
72 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 13% 2%
73 ZHU Avril 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
74 XU Elaine 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
75 ALMEDA Galina 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
76 JUNG Sienna 100% 92% 48% 12% 1% - -
77 YAN Angela 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
78 YE Madeleine 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
79 OH Chloe 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 9%
80 REN Katherine 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
81 LEE Kaitlin 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
82 WANG Tina 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8% -
83 HWANG Charlotte 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
84 DOLEV Rony 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
85 KIM Saeren 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
86 WONG Charlene 100% 83% 38% 9% 1% - -
87 XIONG Alina 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
88 SUNG Olivia 100% 95% 74% 41% 13% 2% -
89 CHOI Charlotte 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
90 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
91 JOHNSON Heaven 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 1%
92 TONG Laurie 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
93 WANG MONA 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
94 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
95 JOSHI Samika 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
96 KIM Satie 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
97 VENNE Sophie 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
98 CHACKO Anne 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
99 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 85% 35% 6% 1% -
100 SONG Emily 100% 81% 25% 3% - -
101 MERRITT Annabelle 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% -
102 HILD Anya 100% 97% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
103 ZHANG Olivia 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
104 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 98% 81% 36% 8% 1% -
105 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
106 LONG Jessie 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
107 PRAKASH Aanika 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
108 SCHMIDT Yehna 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
109 SEO Yunseo 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
110 LIU kai yin aria 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
111 HSIEH Lucia 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
112 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 37% 5% - - -
113 HAYHOE Tara 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
114 SETTY Vaidehi 100% 84% 40% 8% 1% -
115 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 32% 4% - - - -
116 LEE Chaewon 100% 38% 4% - - -
117 TREJO Lucia 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
118 AKULOVA Eva 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% - -
118 NORRMAN Annika 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.