March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 12%
2 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 LIU Sydney 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
3 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
5 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 22%
6 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
7 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
8 BLAKE Anna 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 6%
9 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
10 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
11 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
12 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
13 DENG Brooke 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
14 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6%
15 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
16 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
17 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
18 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
19 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
20 YAM Danika 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
21 CANSECO Carly 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
22 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
23 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
24 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
25 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
26 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 18%
27 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
28 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
29 CHIANG Melissa 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
30 CHAN Jolene 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
31 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
32 GARRETT Madrid 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
33 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 39%
34 PABIAN Emilia 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
35 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
36 TAN Adelyn 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
37 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
38 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
39 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
40 WANG Callie 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
41 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
42 CHEN Kevy 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
43 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
44 CROOKS Riley 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
45 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
46 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
47 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
48 ZHU TINGYI 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30%
49 KHOST Maeve 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
50 TENG EMMA 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
51 LUKER Hannah 100% 91% 51% 15% 2% -
52 ZHOU Ruoxi ( Jasmine) 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
52 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
54 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
55 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
56 DEHON Inès 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
57 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
58 CONG Anne 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 1%
59 LO Chloe 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
60 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
61 WANG Peijia 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
62 XIE Nora 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
63 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
64 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
65 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
66 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
67 LIU Hannah 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
68 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 5% -
69 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
70 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
71 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
72 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
73 STONE Coral 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
73 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
75 HSU leah 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
75 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1%
77 HU Anna 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
78 LEE Alyson 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
79 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
80 ZHAI AMY 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
81 WANG Jiayi 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
82 CAO Sophie 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
83 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 97% 78% 36% 8% 1%
84 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
85 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
86 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
87 CAI Veronica 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
88 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
89 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
90 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
91 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% -
92 CHAVAN Arya 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
93 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
94 MANI Francesca B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
95 FOSS Persephone 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
96 LI Sonia 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
97 PROBASCO Leila 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4% -
97 TONG Laurie 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
99 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
100 FREEMAN Armine 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
101 SUNG Isabella 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
102 BAIREDDY Maya 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
103 XU Kaylyn 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
104 KWON Ava 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
105 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
106 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
107 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
108 HORVITZ Jacqueline 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
109 CHEN Elaine 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
109 FUNG Iris 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
111 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 9% 1%
112 HUANG Neila 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -
113 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
114 LIN Elaine 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
115 LEOU Korina 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
115 SHEN Emily 100% 98% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
117 PADANILAM Lily 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
118 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
119 MOON Claire 100% 83% 36% 7% 1% -
120 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
121 KIM Karen 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
122 FAN Alexandria 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
123 BORGUETA Madison 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
124 KANG Ellie 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
125 NGUYEN Madeleine 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
126 XIONG Alina 100% 97% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
127 YUEN Nicole 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
128 WENG Amber 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
129 LIN Annika 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% -
130 ZHAN Sophie 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
131 HILD Anya 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
132 ZENG Xinyi 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
133 SONG Emily 100% 72% 16% 1% - - -
134 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
135 AWAD Royce 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
136 CASTELO Soleil 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
137 SEBASTIAN Ava 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
138 NAIR Supriya 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
138 MAGITSKY Leila 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
140 KITSON Sasha 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
141 LIU kai yin aria 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
142 LIANG Claire 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
142 KAUL Tara 100% 100% 92% 53% 16% 2% -
144 YE Madeleine 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
145 WONG Charlene 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
145 BROWN Aria 100% 66% 25% 6% 1% - -
147 CHERON Helene 100% 74% 28% 5% 1% - -
148 DOLEV Rony 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
149 LEE Irene 100% 95% 72% 32% 8% 1% -
149 MACKAY Katherine 100% 86% 50% 15% 2% - -
151 ZHANG Emily 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
152 HAN Emma 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
153 SEO Yunseo 100% 45% 5% - - - -
154 RANJAN Diya 100% 84% 43% 11% 2% - -
155 ZAWADA Milena 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
156 KWON Ava 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
157 LEE Kaitlin 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
157 SHMULER Fiona 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
159 JUNG Sienna 100% 56% 14% 1% - -
160 KONZEN Iris 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.