March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-10 Men's Saber

Monday, March 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
2 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
3 YU Ian 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
3 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
5 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% 1%
6 GU Andrew 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
7 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
8 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
9 QI Jeremy 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
10 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
11 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
12 OU Rigel 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
13 MALEK Zak 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40% 3%
14 LUCAS William 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
15 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
16 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
17 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
18 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
19 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
20 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
21 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 2%
22 FU BRANDEN 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
23 LEE Brendan 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
24 LYU Tyler 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
25 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
26 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
27 KIM Eric 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
28 CROOKS Andrew 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 2%
29 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
30 BIVIJI Adam 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
31 LI Ryan 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
32 VIDREVICH David 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
33 DENG Richard 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
34 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30% 4%
35 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
36 YANG LOUIS 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7% -
37 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
38 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 2%
39 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 3% -
40 HOLMES Xavier 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
41 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
42 GUO Jonathan 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% - -
43 MAI Ryan 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
44 KAUL Ishaan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
45 KAMURA Kosei 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
46 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
47 PARK Emerson 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1%
48 LO Lei 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
49 WANG David 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
50 LAI Mars 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
51 HAN Kyle 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
52 LUC Cedric 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
53 LAU Kyrus 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
54 VALLETTA John “JD” 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
55 LEVY Daniel 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
56 JI Derek 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
57 AVERY Marcus 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
58 LEE Bill King 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
59 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
60 THOTAKURA Sreyas 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
61 CHUNG Evan 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
62 ZHANG Aiden 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
63 YI Andrew 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
64 XIONG Alvin 100% 74% 34% 10% 2% - -
65 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
66 ZHANG Caleb 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13% 1%
67 LI Kevin 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
68 GU Dean 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
69 BADMUS David 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
70 TABANCAY Cole 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
71 QI Zach 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2% -
71 LU Simon 100% 98% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
73 GUO Aiden 100% 96% 70% 24% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.