Event Results
AAFA: Rizal OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | EMENHEISER Conrad | V D V V V V | V V V V | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 2 | BRUCE Roman | V V V V V V | V V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 3 | CLICK Aiden | V V V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 3 | SMOLICH Marat | V V V V V D | V V D | 2.3 | 5 | +2.7 |
| 5 | WHITE Joshua H. | D V V V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 6 | VIJAYAKUMAR Diya | V V D D V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 7 | KAUNITZ Emmanuel | D D V V V V | V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 8 | MCRAE Bruce | V V D D V D | V D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 9 | VERGARA Jaden Reese | V V V V D | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 10 | SHAH Suhani | D V V D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 11 | HOPEL Seth | V D V D D V | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 12 | GUEVARRA Isabelle C. | V V D V D D | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 13 | CULLITON Colton | D V D D V D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 14 | ODEA Ryan | D D V D D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 15 | MOOREFIELD Holden C. | D D V D D D | V D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 16 | MANN Justin | D D D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 17 | GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. | D D D V D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 18 | MATHAI Rachel | D D D D V | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 19 | CANADY Isaac | V D D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 20 | MORKOS Elinor | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |