Event Results
AAFA: Rizal OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SMOLICH Marat | V V V V D | V V V V | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 2 | TSAI Caleb | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| 3 | WHITE Joshua H. | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 3 | SHAH Suhani | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 5 | KAPLAN Abe | D V V V V V | V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 6 | RUSSELL James | D V V D V | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 7 | CULLITON Colton | V V D D V D | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 8 | HOPEL Seth | D V D V D V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 9 | GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. | V D V V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 10 | LEAKE Arlo | D V D V V V | D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 11 | GUEVARRA Isabelle C. | V V D D V D | D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 12 | MORKOS Elinor | D V V D D | D | 0.4 | 2 | +1.6 |
| 13 | ODEA Ryan | V V D D D V | V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 14 | HONAN Amari | D D D V D | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 15 | CANADY Isaac | D V D V D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 16 | MANN Justin | D D D V D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 17 | BARROW Jonathon | V D D D D | D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 18 | MATHAI Rachel | D D V D D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 19 | KUBE Lily | D D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 20 | RODRIGUEZ Giomar | D D D D D D | D | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| 21 | PHILLIPS Harper Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |