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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	WANG Amabel	-	1%	14%	38%	36%	10%
2	WANG Joanna	-	-	2%	30%	57%	11%
3	BING Charlotte	-	-	1%	14%	67%	18%
3	DONG Iris	-	1%	15%	45%	32%	6%
5	PUTHOFF Olivia	-	-	2%	14%	41%	43%
6	CULLIVAN Sienna	-	-	2%	13%	42%	44%
7	YIN Chloe	-	3%	17%	39%	33%	8%
8	SINGH Evangelina	6%	24%	38%	26%	7%	-
9	TAO Isabella	-	1%	9%	30%	41%	19%
10	EYER Brooke	-	1%	7%	27%	43%	23%
11	KUANG Xiyan	-	-	-	5%	32%	62%
12	WU Maggie Lei	-	4%	19%	38%	31%	8%
13	ZHANG Priscilla	1%	11%	31%	38%	17%	1%
14	HUANG Natalie	2%	20%	45%	28%	5%	-
14	HAFEZ Sahar	2%	16%	42%	31%	8%	1%
16	JOO Sara	2%	18%	44%	29%	7%	-
17	LIU Jenna	21%	46%	28%	4%	-	-
18	XU Selina (Tai Ran)	17%	41%	32%	9%	1%	-
19	CARMEN Charlotte	9%	33%	39%	16%	3%	-
19	MA Sophia	-	4%	19%	40%	30%	7%
21	FU Pui Lam (Paisley)	-	1%	14%	50%	30%	4%
22	CHEN Yinuo (Emily)	-	5%	20%	37%	30%	9%
23	YANG Hanli	-	6%	24%	41%	25%	4%
24	LI Doreen	11%	37%	36%	14%	2%	-
25	VAN DE KROL Anneke	23%	47%	27%	3%	-	-
26	YU Yi	17%	40%	32%	10%	1%	-
26	SHEN Charlotte	1%	12%	36%	36%	14%	1%
28	BENTLEY Amelia	29%	44%	22%	5%	-	-
29	CHAN Jolene	10%	37%	37%	14%	2%	-
30	ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya	20%	45%	30%	5%	-	-
31	ZHANG Ashley	30%	43%	22%	5%	-	-
32	SHI Micah	11%	35%	37%	15%	2%	-
33	XU Charlene	56%	36%	8%	1%	-	-
34	ZHANG Caroline	41%	42%	15%	2%	-	-
35	JIN Luna	2%	15%	37%	35%	11%	1%
36	CHAN Jaclyn	< 1%	1%	10%	33%	40%	16%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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