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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	CHEN Andrew	1%	15%	41%	34%	9%
2	LOGGINS Austin J.	-	-	-	6%	29%	44%	21%
3	LISSO Ria A.	-	-	1%	9%	48%	42%
3	XIE Joshua	1%	8%	32%	40%	18%	2%
5	PROGRESSOV Dmitrii	-	-	4%	18%	36%	32%	10%
6	JAYASANKAR Hari	-	3%	23%	46%	28%
7	MAY Griffin M.	-	1%	27%	51%	21%
8	ODBADRAKH Batu	2%	13%	35%	37%	13%
9	LIU Jeffrey	-	5%	29%	44%	21%	1%
10	DEMAREE Adam	-	1%	11%	32%	39%	17%
11	HUSSAIN Mustafa	-	-	1%	8%	37%	54%
12	PATNAIK Eshaan	-	4%	17%	34%	32%	11%
13	DUCKETT Leighton	3%	30%	46%	20%	1%
14	BRUNER Thomas	-	9%	40%	40%	10%
15	RAY William	1%	8%	23%	34%	25%	8%	1%
16	DUCKETT Retta	10%	30%	34%	20%	6%	1%	-
18	JAYARAM Archita	-	1%	12%	44%	43%
19	LINDSAY Devin	2%	14%	36%	36%	12%
20	JOSEPH William	-	3%	15%	30%	32%	16%	3%
21	KENYON Jacob	1%	9%	33%	42%	15%
22	BOWMAN Tamara E.	2%	24%	41%	26%	7%	1%
23	RAKAJ Jozef	3%	18%	38%	31%	9%	1%
24	ZONNENBERG William	-	3%	24%	45%	26%	2%
25	RODRIGUEZ Jason	2%	19%	41%	31%	6%	-
26	WOODY Sophia	4%	22%	39%	28%	7%	-
27	MARTIN Quincy	35%	46%	16%	2%	-	-
28	LEITE Antonio	18%	45%	30%	6%	-
29	NGUYEN Albert	17%	43%	31%	8%	1%	-	-
30	ARNOLD Samuel	11%	33%	37%	17%	3%
31	WILCOX Hayden	19%	44%	31%	6%	-
32	VIDRINE Odile	3%	19%	39%	30%	9%	1%	-
33	MEACHAM Logan	13%	35%	35%	15%	3%	-
34	STOLL Fuller	41%	49%	9%	1%	-
35	AVIDANO Mason	24%	47%	24%	5%	-
36	SULLIVAN Axyl	2%	11%	27%	34%	21%	5%
37	TEDOFF Perlman B.	47%	43%	9%	1%	-
38	TRAVNIK John	16%	40%	32%	11%	1%	-
39	WU Yik Chun	28%	44%	23%	5%	-	-
40	MELTON Lillian	11%	33%	35%	16%	3%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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