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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

GRAFA Third Coast Cup ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, March 11, 2023 at 11:00 AM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Leander - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
2 OZAWA Taishi - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
3 FANG Haoyu - 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8%
3 LATORRE Leonardo - 2% 13% 38% 41% 6%
5 ZHANG Hanson - - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
6 KNIBBE Nathan - 1% 9% 32% 41% 16% 2%
7 DIFRANK Avery - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
8 FRASER Rhys 2% 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
9 HICKEY Connor - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
10 HONG Derek - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
11 DIFRANK Tae - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13% 1%
12 WANG Caleb - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
13 DEBORD Beckett - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
14 ALANAZI Saif - 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 4%
15 GREULICH Nikolas 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
16 KOLACKI Gabriel 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
17 WENGER Liam - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
18 ZMUDA Aiden - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
19 GOGOI Kavi 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
20 DEMPSEY Julian 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
21 PAYNE Lynas 3% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
22 WANG Xiuqi(Arthur) 1% 10% 26% 34% 21% 6% 1%
22 STINNETT Brady - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
24 TURNER Jackson - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
25 ZHAO Jason 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
26 DEPP Edward 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
27 TATE Linus - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
28 BILLIET Greyson 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
29 CALESHU Bauer 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
30 IBRAHIM Khaden 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
31 LI Andy 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
32 CHASE Crosby 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
33 HICKEY Dylan 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
34 GOSTRYY Grigory 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
35 EDWARDS Connor 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
36 LIM-SEIWERT Tristan - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
37 GONZALEZ Rocky - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
38 SCHMUDE Connor - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 10%
39 CHAN William 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
40 DEHAAN Dalton - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
41 NOTHIAS Sebastien 57% 35% 8% 1% - -
42 BANNICK Evan 8% 31% 37% 18% 4% - -
42 BANNICK Elliott 31% 43% 20% 5% 1% - -
44 NG Gavin 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
45 DEWAR Gabe 9% 32% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
46 LIM-SEIWERT Cassian 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
47 CARLSON Avery 12% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
48 MUNOZ Rocco 1% 19% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
49 MARRA Evan - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
50 HILDEBRANDT Gerhard 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
50 SHUBITZ Jonathan 1% 14% 40% 34% 9% 1% -
52 HOLMES Elston 40% 42% 16% 3% - - -
53 RYKSE James < 1% 10% 35% 39% 13% 2% -
54 RITTER Nathan D. 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
55 VOGEL Rylan 1% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.