GRAFA Third Coast Cup ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 12, 2023 at 8:00 AM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KNAPP Isabella - 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9%
2 FRASER Morgan - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 12%
3 RIVERA Leahy - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
3 ESMONDE-WHITE Daphne - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
5 WASHINGTON KAILYNN ROSE - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
6 YANG Olivia - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
7 BOIKE Lucille - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
8 IANNI Isabel - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
9 OWENS Genevieve 10% 29% 33% 20% 6% 1% -
10 KAGAN Natalie 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
11 LIN Athena 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
12 XU Kaylee 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
13 REDEMANN Reagan - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
14 YU April 24% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
15 SMITH Samantha 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
16 FOLEY Genevieve 3% 15% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
17 CHAVEZ Beatrix 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
18 LALONDE Beatrice 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
19 SHAKARIAN KVIDERA Aida - 5% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
20 WELTER Gemma 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
21 CREVIERE Elsie < 1% 9% 32% 37% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.