Event Preview
Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCSaturday, January 3, 2026 at 2:30 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2646 | 2779 - 2531 |
| 5 - 8 | 2392 | 2494 - 2337 |
| 9 - 16 | 2268 | 2336 - 2215 |
| 17 - 32 | 2123 | 2222 - 2035 |
| 33 - 64 | 1844 | 2010 - 1698 |
| 65 - 101 | 1412 | 1867 - 656 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.