Event Preview
Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCSaturday, January 3, 2026 at 2:30 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 2600 | 2684 - 2493 |
| 5 - 8 | 2387 | 2491 - 2323 |
| 9 - 16 | 2265 | 2300 - 2222 |
| 17 - 32 | 2105 | 2202 - 2010 |
| 33 - 64 | 1814 | 2001 - 1667 |
| 65 - 101 | 1384 | 1867 - 721 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.