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Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, April 30, 2017 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center - Miami, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
2 DODRILL Grant 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
3 ANGLADE Junior Ronald E. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
3 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 36% 7%
5 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
6 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47% 6%
7 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 33% 4%
8 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
9 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
10 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
11 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
12 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 9%
13 MIKA Casper 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
14 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 16%
16 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
17 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
18 KHAIRI Faaris 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
19 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
20 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
22 PARK Collin D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 5%
23 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
23 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
25 TSODIKOV Matthew G. 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
25 GANTA Vijay 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 3%
27 KENNEDY Liam A. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
28 WUN William 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
29 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
29 LEONARD Cole 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
29 HUANG Eric 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
32 SHIN Matthew H. 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
33 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
34 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
35 NG Jonathan H. 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
36 SANFILIPPO-SCHERER Alexander G. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
37 SHIMER Joseph (Joey) D. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
38 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
39 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
40 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
41 DU Gavin 100% 78% 33% 6% - -
42 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 14%
43 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 98% 79% 34% 4% -
44 MADDALONE Thomas 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 2%
45 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
46 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
47 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% 2%
48 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 4%
49 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 97% 72% 22% 2% - -
50 CHEN Collin H. 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% - -
51 ROPER Evan 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
52 JI Cody 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
53 MILLER Zachary T. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
54 WARSZAWA Andre J. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
55 STOMPEL Daniel 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
56 GE Nicholas 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
57 GRASS James D. 100% 77% 39% 12% 2% - -
58 COSGROVE Connor R. 100% 85% 43% 10% 1% - -
59 MOOREHEAD Patrick 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
60 CHEN Oscar 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
61 COREY Michael A. 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
62 JIANG Kevin 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
63 YOU Jaden 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
64 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 93% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
65 XUE Alexander 100% 98% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
67 KELLY III Andrew D. 100% 85% 47% 13% 2% - -
68 COX Luis E. 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.