New England Division - Div II/III/Vet Qualifiers

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, March 19, 2023 at 8:30 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZEBROSE Cordell B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
2 MASE Orin R. 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
3 MCILWAIN Wesley D. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
3 IORIO Max 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 4%
5 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
6 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
7 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
8 MARSHALL William L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
9 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
10 WANG Justin 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
11 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
12 MARTONE Matt L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
13 THOMPSON Ian 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 2%
14 JIANG Ryan 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 10%
15 MACNEILL Owen 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
16 EGAN Edward L. 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
17 JACKSON Nicholas 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
18 STEIN Philip 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
19 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
20 REINEKE Alexander 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
21 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
22 KIM Nathan 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
23 MASSE Jack 100% 92% 62% 22% 4% -
24 SAULSBERRY Saliim 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
25 HU Jansen T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
26 EGHIAN Armen 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
27 MECHREFE Anthony 100% 51% 13% 2% - -
28 MILGRAM Aaron 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
29 REINEKE Gerhard 100% 76% 34% 7% 1% -
29 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.