Morris Cup Spring RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Adam - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
2 FENG Shang - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
3 NORMILE Nicholas - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
3 LONG Kevin - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
5 SINGLETON Aman - - - 1% 11% 40% 47%
6 CHEN Jayden - 1% 8% 23% 36% 26% 6%
7 LI Jade - - 2% 13% 38% 37% 10%
8 CAFASSO Alexander - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
9 LEE DoWon - - - 1% 7% 33% 58%
10 LYCHKO Maksym 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
11 NOOL Alexander - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
12 AHMED Mohsen 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
13 FENG Xinmin 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2% -
14 WANG Marcus 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
15 DYCKMAN Benjamin 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
16 KATS Brandon 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
17 TESFAYE Elias 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6% -
18 WANG-SONG Evan - 2% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
19 TOPRANI Valmik - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
20 LEE Harrison - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
21 KINCADE Renny - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
22 YAO Ryan - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
23 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
24 LI Ryan 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
25 YAO Aiden 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
26 LIU Jeremy 6% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
27 NOOL Aaron 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
28 LUO Alexander 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
29 LEE Nicholas 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
30 WHITE Jackson 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
31 MILINKOVIC Maksim 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
32 CHEN Edward 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
33 LEVESQUE Gabriel - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
34 MAZEL Antonin - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
35 YOON Jonathan 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
36 SAVATH Quentin 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
37 AGUIRRE Pablo 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
38 MCGANN Grant 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
39 HALLISAY III Vincent 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
40 SHAPIRO Samuel 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
41 KHANNA Zoraver 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
42 YU David 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
43 ANSARI Rayyan - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 2%
44 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
45 TSIEN Richard 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3% -
46 LIU Pan Iok 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
47 NG Nico 11% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
48 LIU George Yikyen 1% 21% 43% 28% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.