Morris Cup Spring RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, March 18, 2023 at 10:30 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
2 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
3 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
3 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
5 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
6 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 13%
7 KWON Ava 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
8 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 9%
9 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
10 MAK Kaitlin 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 18% 2%
11 KIM Eunjae 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
12 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 17%
13 REN Katherine 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 20% 3%
14 WONG Charlene 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
15 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
16 BAIK Sarah 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
17 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
18 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
19 ZONG Eliane 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
20 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
21 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
22 HUANG Pierra 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
23 LEE Hannah 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1% -
24 LEE Kaitlin 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
25 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
26 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
27 REDA Sophie 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
28 LEIGH Adalene 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
29 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
30 LAFFY Lily 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
31 LIAO Amber 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
32 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 32% 4% - - - -
33 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
34 LEE Grace 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
35 KIM Grace 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
36 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
37 HAGN Luna 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
38 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
39 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 11% 1%
40 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
41 XU Elaine 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
42 WANG MONA 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
43 ZHAO Angie 100% 73% 25% 4% - - -
44 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
45 TAKEUCHI Isabel 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
46 JUNG Elise 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
47 WU Tonia 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
48 SMITH Genevieve 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
49 WANG Chloe 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
50 CHEN KIMBERLEY 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 8% -
51 PIENKOWSKI Olivia 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
52 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% -
53 WILSON Lilia 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
54 BUTZ Victoria 100% 99% 81% 42% 10% 1% -
55 SAGER Bianca 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.