Spring Fling 2023

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 26, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Augusta Fencers Club - Augusta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 QIAN Henry 100% 99% 56% 14% 1%
2 LEBEDOVYCH Tristin 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 37%
3 LEEKER Adeline 100% 96% 60% 19% 2% -
3 KUTATELADZE Anna 100% 63% 9% - -
5 CARDINAL Elise 100% 75% 30% 6% - < 1%
6 SIGGINS Wally 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27%
7 ALLEN Charles 100% 100% 96% 74% 26% 1%
8 KOONTZ Riley 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
9 EL-AMIN Amina 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
10 WINBURN Sam 100% 100% 87% 40% 3%
11 SERENGULIAN Sarah 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 1%
12 MARTINA-BRITO Ella 100% 100% 99% 85% 43% 6%
13 ZHANG Justin 100% 25% 2% - - -
14 COLLETTE Tobias (Toby) 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
15 ELWELL Daniel 100% 97% 75% 36% 7%
16 MALIK Manha 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
17 KIMZEY Jack 100% 100% 79% 32% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.