Goldfinch ROC D1A, Vet, RJCC and chair fencing

Cadet Women's Épée

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 12:00 PM

SportsPlex At Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SMUK Alexandra S.	-	-	1%	8%	35%	55%
2	SMOTRITSKY Liat	2%	14%	35%	34%	13%	1%
3	CAI Yiyi (Phoebe)	-	1%	11%	44%	36%	8%
3	LI Fei	-	-	3%	17%	44%	36%
5	RANDLEMAN Teresa	-	-	-	2%	13%	40%	45%
6	DEPOMMIER Isabelle	-	1%	9%	32%	42%	16%
7	PRESMAN Aerin	-	1%	7%	26%	42%	24%
8	MONOVA Lilyana	-	4%	16%	32%	32%	14%	2%
9	ZHENG Linden	-	1%	6%	22%	37%	28%	6%
10	PAN Angela	1%	12%	34%	35%	15%	2%
11	FAN Elizabeth	-	1%	7%	24%	41%	27%
12	NOVOJILOV Anastasia	-	4%	24%	47%	21%	3%
13	SHU Youshan	-	-	8%	37%	42%	13%
14	PINNAMANENI Drithi	-	-	2%	17%	45%	36%
15	SHANKERDAS Shreeya	5%	24%	37%	25%	8%	1%
16	LEEB Zoe	45%	40%	13%	2%	-	-
17	PARSONS Mischa	-	-	1%	12%	42%	44%
18	REKEDA Anna	1%	7%	27%	39%	23%	3%
19	YOU Isabel B.	-	2%	12%	33%	38%	15%
20	WROBEL Julia	-	2%	12%	34%	39%	14%
21	FENG Iris	5%	22%	36%	27%	9%	1%
22	SATO Elyse	32%	44%	20%	4%	-	-
23	AGAON Evelyn	1%	6%	22%	36%	27%	7%
24	CURRIE Keira	2%	15%	35%	33%	13%	1%
25	FANG Kayla	19%	39%	30%	11%	2%	-
26	GAO Audrey	12%	34%	34%	16%	4%	-	-
27	ZOU You yang (Yoyo)	6%	28%	44%	19%	3%	-
28	YANG Charlotte	-	5%	27%	43%	22%	3%
29	GANSER Nicole	1%	8%	28%	38%	21%	4%
30	BAE Allison	27%	50%	21%	2%	-	-
31	ANAR Yesui	47%	41%	11%	1%	-	-
32	CHEN Alicia	15%	36%	32%	14%	3%	-	-
33	XENOPHONTOS Sophia	1%	11%	39%	39%	10%	-
34	BRAGG Leah	3%	16%	33%	32%	14%	2%
35	LIN Laura	4%	25%	39%	25%	6%	-
36	SHETH Anayaà	19%	56%	22%	3%	-	-
37	LEE Claudia	26%	44%	24%	5%	-	-
38	GUNISETTI Isha	3%	19%	39%	30%	9%	1%
38	ALVAREZ Martine	14%	43%	34%	9%	1%	-
40	LI Olivia	1%	9%	26%	35%	22%	6%	-
41	BASRALIAN Lucine	5%	21%	35%	27%	10%	2%	-
42	THOMAS Rhiana	50%	39%	10%	1%	-	-
43	ANAR Yesugen	18%	43%	29%	8%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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