Goldfinch ROC D1A, Vet, RJCC and chair fencing

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 3:30 PM

SportsPlex At Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GUGALA Hanna	-	2%	14%	34%	36%	14%
2	SCHAIBLE Sofia L.	-	1%	7%	28%	43%	21%
3	ZHANG Chenfei	-	-	4%	23%	45%	29%
3	MANKOVA Varvara	-	3%	17%	36%	33%	11%
5	ZENG Sarah	-	-	5%	22%	43%	29%
6	FAVO Isabella	-	-	1%	10%	40%	49%
7	WANG yining	-	-	-	4%	18%	42%	35%
8	ZHANG Sophie	-	-	1%	12%	42%	45%
9	ATTIA Jasmine	-	2%	10%	27%	37%	21%	4%
10	KANDADAI Lara	-	1%	8%	36%	43%	12%
11	YOUNG Audrey	-	1%	9%	33%	44%	14%
12	CHOU Zoe	-	3%	18%	39%	32%	8%
13	NAYAK Esha	-	1%	6%	21%	37%	29%	7%
14	NEUMAN Ella	-	6%	25%	43%	23%	3%
15	CHI Claire	2%	22%	42%	27%	7%	1%
16	TA-ZHOU Emma	2%	13%	30%	34%	17%	4%	-
17	KNOBEL Sophia	-	1%	12%	41%	37%	9%
18	MYAT Chloe	-	2%	15%	39%	35%	10%
19	CHAVAN Arya	-	1%	10%	32%	41%	17%
20	DAMBAL Sasha	-	1%	9%	33%	41%	15%
21	KAPLAN Gabriela	3%	29%	40%	22%	5%	-
22	HU Anna	-	6%	25%	38%	25%	6%
23	FREEMAN Armine	-	7%	26%	38%	24%	6%
24	RANJAN Diya	2%	17%	43%	30%	8%	1%
25	BAINS Nandini	3%	22%	49%	23%	4%	-
26	KIM Audrey	24%	51%	22%	3%	-	-
27	FLATT Sophia	-	2%	15%	38%	34%	10%
28	MERMEGAS Olivia	6%	24%	36%	25%	8%	1%	-
29	MARGULIAN Maria	-	2%	14%	37%	36%	11%
30	BAIREDDY Maya	8%	28%	36%	22%	6%	1%	-
31	AKULA Roszlynn	20%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-	-
32	HO Sophia	23%	44%	27%	6%	-	-
33	SHMULER Fiona	9%	34%	39%	16%	2%	-
34	BARROSO Isabela	2%	17%	40%	30%	9%	1%
35	ROHATGI Saanvi	71%	26%	3%	-	-	-
36	NAYAK Antara	20%	43%	29%	7%	1%	-
37	SVENSSON Siri Lin	28%	47%	21%	4%	-	-
38	WONG Charlene	31%	46%	20%	3%	-	-
39	ONG Lauren	14%	49%	30%	7%	1%	-
40	PASUPULETI Laya	47%	43%	9%	1%	-	-
41	PALMIERI Giuliana M.	4%	30%	41%	20%	4%	-
41	YAO Annabelle	59%	35%	6%	-	-	-
43	HARRISON Allie	76%	22%	2%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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