Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, March 24, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 44%
2 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 43%
3 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 28%
3 KANG Evan 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
5 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
6 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
7 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
7 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
9 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
9 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
11 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
12 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
13 KIM seoha 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
14 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 36%
15 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
16 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
17 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 23%
18 GONG zihao 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
19 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 20%
20 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 27%
21 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
22 ZENG Vito 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
23 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
24 GONG ziqian 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
25 TUNG Ryan 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
26 HRISTOV Kris 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
27 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 23%
28 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
29 SANGSTER Arden 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
30 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
31 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
32 SHA Walter 100% 96% 70% 25% 3% -
33 YU Kevin 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
34 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
35 LI Yidong A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
36 IYER Neil 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
37 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
38 CHI Everett 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% 1%
39 SUNG Julian 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
40 BRUM Charles E. 100% 97% 76% 35% 8% 1%
40 CAO Donald 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
42 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 98% 84% 45% 10% 1%
43 CHAN Henry 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
44 HO Anson 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
45 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
46 YU Casey 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 3% -
47 KROON Landon 100% 99% 87% 49% 9% -
48 RONG Jasper 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
49 SEELMAN Cole 100% 57% 14% 1% - -
50 GU Kevin 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
51 WONG Alexander 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
52 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
53 LEIGH Edward 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
54 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
55 CAO Oliver 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
56 WANG Andrew 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
57 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
58 SINGHAL Armaan 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
59 LI Philip 100% 91% 54% 17% 3% - -
60 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
61 HONG Aidan 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
62 CURRY Mason 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
63 LIU Yijin 100% 99% 86% 50% 14% 1%
64 CETTO Luca 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
65 RICHARDS Corey 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
66 GU Andrew 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
67 CHAN Elliott 100% 97% 77% 35% 6% -
68 LIANG Preston 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
69 HONG Arick 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
70 WINTERSET Mason 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
71 CHEN Boaz 100% 87% 45% 12% 1% -
72 NGUYEN Dylan 100% 85% 41% 9% 1% -
73 LIU Daniel 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
74 VO Landon 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
75 ZHAO Derek 100% 38% 5% - - - -
76 XIAO Brayden 100% 95% 73% 40% 13% 2% -
77 WONG Lucas 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% - -
78 JIA Samuel 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
79 TIAN Zimo 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
80 CHEN Cooper 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 2% -
81 JIA David 100% 84% 39% 7% - -
82 SU Kingston 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
83 XIAO haoyu 100% 95% 55% 17% 2% -
84 HAO Johnny 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
85 THUAN Louis 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.