Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, March 24, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30%
2 WANG Gloria 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 33%
3 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
3 TAN Adelyn 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
5 TSE Angelina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 34%
6 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
7 LIU Sydney 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 16%
8 STONE Coral 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
9 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 21%
10 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
11 LIN Annika 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 5%
12 CONG Anne 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
13 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
14 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
15 CHEN Colette 100% 100% 94% 65% 24% 3%
16 BORDAS HILL Georgiana 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
17 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 25%
18 WANG Peijia 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
19 MORALES Camila Avisac 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
20 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
21 TRILLO Maya Izabella 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
21 SUNG Isabella 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
23 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
24 MARTINEZ MARIA 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
25 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
26 LIAO Jieni 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
27 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
28 LO Chloe 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 2%
29 WONG Cerise 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% -
30 YAM Danika 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
31 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 5%
32 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
33 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
34 BAERENWALD Welles 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
35 GAY Sasha 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
36 NING Lynn 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
37 LIN Kyleen 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
38 HAN Emma 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
39 LIU kai yin aria 100% 96% 67% 23% 3% -
40 LEE Irene 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
41 YUEN Nicole 100% 72% 25% 4% - -
42 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 99% 91% 56% 17% 2%
43 SEBASTIAN Ava 100% 76% 31% 6% - -
44 TONG Laurie 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
45 KNULL Emma 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
46 MISHEV Lila 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
47 HUANG Shiloh 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
48 SHEARER Alena 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
49 HUYANG xinke 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
50 BAIRD Kaleah 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
51 ZHAI AMY 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
51 WANG Jiayi 100% 97% 78% 37% 8% 1%
53 KIM Satie 100% 76% 25% 4% - -
54 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
55 LIN Abbey 100% 92% 53% 14% 1% -
56 JOHNSON Heaven 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
57 GIGUERE Nikita 100% 35% 6% - - - -
58 LIN Ariel 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
59 STAPLEY Claire 100% 77% 29% 5% - - -
60 KIM Alice 100% 40% 6% - - -
61 LEE Madeleine 100% 69% 23% 3% - -
62 ROBBINS Adele 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
62 LIU Hannah 100% 44% 10% 1% - - -
64 JUNG Sienna 100% 51% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.