Fortune Fencing SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, March 25, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 50%
2 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
3 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 14%
3 CONG Anne 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
5 SUNG Isabella 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
6 BAERENWALD Welles 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36% 6%
7 GAY Sasha 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8%
8 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
9 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
10 NAVARRO LARIOS KATE 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
11 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
12 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 8% 1%
13 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
14 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
15 LEE Irene 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
16 TRILLO Maya Izabella 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
17 CAI Veronica 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
18 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
19 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
20 LIU kai yin aria 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
21 KIM Yeju 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 3%
22 MARTINEZ MARIA 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
23 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
24 OCA Merci 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
25 WONG Cerise 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
26 LONG Jessie 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
27 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
28 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
29 DANG Madeleine 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
30 YU Stella 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
31 KIM Saeren 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
32 NING Lynn 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
33 WU Daisy 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
34 KIM Satie 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
35 HSIEH Lucia 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
36 CAI Joanna 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 37% 9%
37 WANG Tina 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
38 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
39 CHANG Kylie 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
40 SEBASTIAN Ava 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
41 VENNE Sophie 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
42 SHEN Elise 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
43 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
44 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
45 GONG suri 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
46 HWANG Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
47 ALSHAARAWI Sofia 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2% -
47 AKULOVA Eva 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
49 ROBLES HERNANDEZ PERLA MONTSERRAT 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
50 DING Jolie 100% 91% 47% 13% 2% -
51 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
52 HU Ashley 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
53 JUNG Sienna 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
54 MEI Chloe 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
55 YUEN Nicole 100% 91% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
56 STAPLEY Claire 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
57 XU Rachel 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
58 DAVIS Layla 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% - -
59 CONG Catherine 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
60 GIGUERE Nikita 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
61 ROBBINS Adele 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
62 YU Skylar 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
63 CAMACHO Keila 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
64 CUI Andrea 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
65 LIN Emmie 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
66 CAO Kim 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% - -
67 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
68 SUTHERLAND Sadie 100% 32% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.